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Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd Prediction & H2H Stats

Qatar Qatar

QSL 2025/2026 Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
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Match Events

18'
Mujica R.
36'
Camara M.
41'
Suhail A.

AI Match Summary

The QSL 2025/2026 game between Al Arabi (Qatar) and Al Sadd finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Arabi (Qatar).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
30%
Draws
47%
Al Sadd
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Sadd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al Sadd come out ahead of Al Arabi (Qatar) on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Sadd a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sadd Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Al Sadd
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 21
Draws 8 2
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 1.55 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.81 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 17, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd
2:1
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:3
Jan 30, 2025 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sadd
1:3
Aug 22, 2024 QSL
Al Sadd vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarabia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lihadji I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al Sadd Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberto Firmino
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 16 / 100
Al Sadd 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Al Sadd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Sadd Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Sadd let in goals in 90% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Al Arabi (Qatar) has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Al-Sadd
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Home)
21 Sept
Al-Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al-Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Aug
Al Arabi (Qatar)
2 : 2
Shamal
Page 1 of 7

Al Sadd

(Away)
14 Sept
Esteghlal TEH
3 : 0
Al-Sadd
10 Sept
Al Sailiya
3 : 6
Al-Sadd
05 Sept
Al-Sadd
4 : 1
Al-Gharafa
01 Sept
Al-Sadd
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
28 Aug
Qatar SC
2 : 6
Al-Sadd
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Sadd 22 14 3 5 56:30 45
2 Shamal 22 12 4 6 39:28 40
3 Al Rayyan 22 11 5 6 46:32 38
4 Al Gharafa 22 11 3 8 36:36 36
5 Al Duhail 22 9 6 7 40:27 33
6 Al Arabi (Qatar) 22 9 5 8 37:41 32
7 Al Wakra 22 8 6 8 36:34 30
8 Qatar SC 22 8 5 9 32:36 29
9 Al Ahli 22 8 2 12 34:43 26
10 Al Sailiya 22 6 4 12 25:38 22
11 Al Shahaniya 22 6 3 13 22:39 21
12 Umm-Salal 22 6 2 14 37:56 20
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Relegation - QSL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 (Main)