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Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sailiya

Qatar Qatar

QSL Grand Hamad Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
El Ghazi A.
Assist: Belhanda Y.
13'
Mahmoud A.
20' Event
Belhanda Y.
Assist: Tabasideh H.

AI Match Summary

The QSL game between Al Arabi (Qatar) and Al Sailiya finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Sailiya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
40%
Draws
29%
Al Sailiya
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 20%
Al Sailiya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Al Sailiya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sailiya
1:2
Dec 6, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 QSL
Al Sailiya vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
4:0
May 6, 2024 Emir Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al Sailiya
2:1
Apr 25, 2023 Emir Cup
Al Sailiya vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Al Sailiya Compare

Top Goalscorer El Ghazi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Belhanda Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 32 / 100
Al Sailiya 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Al Sailiya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Al Sailiya's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Al Arabi (Qatar) remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Al Sailiya
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd22143556:3045
2Shamal22124639:2840
3Al Rayyan22115646:3238
4Al-Gharafa22113836:3636
5Al-Duhail2296740:2733
6Al Arabi (Qatar)2295837:4132
7Al Wakra2286836:3430
8Qatar SC2285932:3629
9Al Ahli22821234:4326
10Al Sailiya22641225:3822
11Al-Shahaniya22631322:3921
12Umm-Salal22621437:5620