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Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Qatar SC

Qatar Qatar

QSL Cup Grand Hamad Stadium
Mon, Jan 26, 2026
3 - 2
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) play Qatar SC in the QSL Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Arabi (Qatar) averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. Qatar SC averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Al Arabi (Qatar) won 3, Qatar SC won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Apr 8, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Al Arabi (Qatar) and 1.38 for Qatar SC. This points to a Al Arabi (Qatar) double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
28%
Draws
24%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al Arabi (Qatar)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Qatar) picked up more points recently compared to Qatar SC.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.38 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 17%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Qatar SC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 2.07 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Qatar SC
1:1
Jan 26, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Qatar SC
3:2
Nov 23, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:5
Oct 4, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Qatar SC
4:1
Mar 29, 2025 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Darros J. P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Qatar SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Joao Pedro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 47 / 100
Qatar SC 24 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Qatar SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Arabi (Qatar) or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20%
2.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Arabi (Qatar) attacking → ← attacking Qatar SC

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Qatar SC let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Al Arabi (Qatar) went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Qatar SC lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 33
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.50
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00