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Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal

Qatar Qatar

QSL Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Fri, Aug 21, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Qatar) host Shamal in the QSL. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Shamal have shipped 1.38 goals a game lately, while Al Arabi (Qatar) have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Al Arabi (Qatar) have won 1 to Shamal's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 5, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.63 vs 1.38, favoring Shamal. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
33%
Draws
40%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Shamal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Arabi (Qatar) lately — more wins on the board than Shamal.
  • Win probability leans Shamal's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shamal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 17%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Shamal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 13
Draws 4 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.88 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 5, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal
1:2
Nov 14, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:2
May 7, 2025 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:1
Mar 8, 2025 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 28 / 100
Shamal 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Arabi (Qatar) scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Shamal let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Shamal's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Shamal
1.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Home)
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
13 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 2
Al Sailiya
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
03 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 6

Shamal

(Away)
01 May
Shamal
4 : 6
Al-Sadd
27 Apr
Al-Sadd
3 : 2
Shamal
13 Apr
Shamal
3 : 0
Qatar SC
08 Apr
Al-Shahaniya
2 : 0
Shamal
04 Apr
Shamal
3 : 2
Umm-Salal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd00000:00
2Al-Gharafa00000:00
3Al Arabi (Qatar)00000:00
4Al Rayyan00000:00
5Qatar SC00000:00
6Al Wakra00000:00
7Al Sailiya00000:00
8Al Ahli00000:00
9Al-Duhail00000:00
10Shamal00000:00
11Al-Shahaniya00000:00
12Lusail00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)