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Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Grand Hamad Stadium, Doha
Al Arabi (Qatar) Logo

Al Arabi (Qatar)

2 - 2
FT
Shamal Logo

Shamal

Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Sarabia P.
39'
Awad M.
49'
Bauobida K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this QSL matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
35%
Draws
32%
Shamal
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Shamal lately — more wins on the board than Al Arabi (Qatar).
  • Win probability leans Al Arabi (Qatar)'s way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Shamal have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 10%
Shamal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Qatar) Shamal
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.71
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal
2:2
Feb 5, 2026 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal
1:2
Nov 14, 2025 QSL Cup
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Shamal
0:3
Sep 13, 2025 QSL
Shamal vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:2
May 7, 2025 Emir Cup
Shamal vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Qatar) Compare

Top Goalscorer Sarabia P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tannane O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Shamal Compare

Top Goalscorer Bounedjah B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Qatar) 40 / 100
Shamal 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Qatar) Shamal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Al Arabi (Qatar)'s goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Shamal let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Arabi (Qatar) stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Qatar) VS Shamal
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Sadd
2 : 3
Al Arabi (Qatar)
21 Sept
Al Duhail
2 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
12 Sept
Al Arabi (Qatar)
0 : 0
Qatar SC
03 Sept
Al Sailiya
0 : 2
Al Arabi (Qatar)
29 Aug
Al Duhail
1 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Page 1 of 6

Shamal

(Away)
08 Oct
Shamal
0 : 4
Al Duhail
01 Oct
Shamal
2 : 1
Muaither SC
22 Sept
Al Bidda
0 : 4
Shamal
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
10 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Wakra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 5 4 1 0 10:2 13
2 Al Sadd 5 4 0 1 21:10 12
3 Al Duhail 5 2 3 0 9:3 9
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 5 2 3 0 8:5 9
5 Shamal 5 2 2 1 10:10 8
6 Lusail 4 1 2 1 7:4 5
7 Al Wakra 5 1 2 2 7:11 5
8 Al Shahaniya 4 1 1 2 7:9 4
9 Al Ahli 4 1 1 2 5:9 4
10 Al Gharafa 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
11 Qatar SC 5 0 2 3 4:12 2
12 Al Sailiya 4 0 0 4 5:13 0
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)