Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Jubail

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 2025/2026 Department of Education Stadium, Unaizah
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Al Oudah O.
Assist: Fajr F.
29'
Abed A.
33'
Al Haribi A.

AI Match Summary

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) in this Division 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
20%
Draws
0%
Al Jubail
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) have won more games recently than Al Jubail.
  • Win probability leans Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)'s way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Clean Sheet 14%
Al Jubail Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Al Jubail
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 3
Draws 4 4
Losses 22 23
Goals Scored 0.73 0.87
Goals Conceded 2.17 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Jubail
4:3
Jan 5, 2026 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2:0
Feb 18, 2025 Division 1
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) vs Al Jubail
3:1
Sep 29, 2024 Division 1
Al Jubail vs Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Mayad A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Panom G.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Jubail Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Oudah O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Eissa I. K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 75 / 100
Al Jubail 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Al Jubail

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Jubail let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.25 goals per match.

Al Jubail lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) VS Al Jubail
0.88 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)

(Home)
13 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
2 : 3
Al Jandal
09 May
Al Jabalain
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
21 Apr
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
1 : 1
Al Bukiryah
Page 1 of 6

Al Jubail

(Away)
13 May
Al Adalah
2 : 0
Al Jubail
09 May
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al-Ula
01 May
Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)
4 : 3
Al Jubail
26 Apr
Al Jubail
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
20 Apr
Al Jubail
0 : 2
Al Wehda
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abha 34 24 5 5 64:35 77
2 Al-Faisaly 34 21 10 3 76:32 73
3 Al Diriyah 34 22 6 6 79:39 72
4 Al-Ula 34 21 8 5 72:33 71
5 Al Orubah 34 20 5 9 56:38 65
6 Al Jabalain 34 17 8 9 59:38 59
7 Al Raed 34 14 10 10 64:46 52
8 Al Zulfi 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
9 Al Taee 34 12 8 14 48:52 44
10 Al Wehda 34 12 7 15 52:58 43
11 Al Bukiryah 34 12 7 15 36:48 43
12 Al Anwar 34 10 11 13 53:54 41
13 Jeddah Club 34 9 12 13 34:51 39
14 Al Adalah 34 8 9 17 44:70 33
15 Al Jandal 34 8 8 18 34:60 32
16 Al Batin 34 5 7 22 39:69 22
17 Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia) 34 5 6 23 24:67 21
18 Al Jubail 34 3 5 26 28:73 14
Promotion - Saudi Professional League (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)