Sport Picks
Al Bashaer vs Al Ahly Tripoli - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Libya
Premier League 
AI Match Summary
Al Ahly Tripoli in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly Tripoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
27%
30%
43%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Ahly Tripoli lately — more wins on the board than Al Bashaer.
- Win probability leans Al Ahly Tripoli's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ahly Tripoli have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Al Bashaer Clean Sheet 11%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Bashaer | Al Ahly Tripoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 39 |
| Wins | 8 | 31 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 11 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 2.44 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.58 | 1.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 28, 2026 Premier League
Al Bashaer vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:2
Mar 10, 2024 Premier League
Al Bashaer vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:2
Dec 3, 2023 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Bashaer
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Bashaer 10 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Bashaer Al Ahly Tripoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Bashaer's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Al Bashaer went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Defensive concern: Al Ahly Tripoli conceded in 33% of 39 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Al Bashaer VS Al Ahly Tripoli
0.67 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
33% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Bashaer
(Home) 19 Oct
Al Khmes
0 : 2 Al Bashaer
06 Jul
Al Bashaer
1 : 0 Abi Al Ashar
02 Jul
Al Tirsana
4 : 3 Al Bashaer
28 Jun
Al Dahra
2 : 2 Al Bashaer
24 Jun
Al Bashaer
1 : 1 Al Dahra
Page 1 of 6
06 Jul
Al Bashaer
1 : 0 Abi Al Ashar
24 Jun
Al Bashaer
1 : 1 Al Dahra
11 May
Al Bashaer
2 : 2 Al Tirsana
05 Apr
Al Bashaer
1 : 1 Al Ittihad
07 Mar
Al Bashaer
1 : 3 Asswehly
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Al Ahly Tripoli
(Away) 24 Oct
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 1 Welwalo Adigrat
16 Oct
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 4 Al Ahly Tripoli
12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
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16 Oct
Welwalo Adigrat
0 : 4 Al Ahly Tripoli
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
07 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
18 Apr
Al Khmes
1 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 9 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Al Malaab El Libby | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:3 | 4 |
| 6 | Al Bashaer | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Assabah | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 3 |
| 8 | Al Majd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 0 |
| 9 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Asswehly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | Al Shomooa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Watan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Khmes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 14 | Shabab Al Ghar | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 12:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 6 |
| 3 | Al Taawun | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 4 | Al Nasr | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Akhdar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 4 |
| 6 | Darnes | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Tahaddi | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Afreeki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | 3 |
| 9 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 2 |
| 10 | Al Sadaqa | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | 1 |
| 11 | Khaleej Sirte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:3 | 1 |
| 12 | Al Batnan | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:7 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Sharara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 14 | Al Jadida | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League (Play Offs)
