Sport Picks

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Al-Budaiya vs Al-Ahli

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Al Hashash A.
13' Event
Jassim A.
47' Event
Hamidou R.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al-Budaiya
20%
Draws
51%
Al-Ahli
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al-Ahli

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Budaiya haven't matched Al-Ahli's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al-Ahli a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Ahli Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Budaiya Al-Ahli
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 9 16
Draws 5 8
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.09 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.72 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Ahli
2:2
Feb 5, 2026 King's Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Ahli
0:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Al-Budaiya
2:3
Apr 1, 2023 Premier League
Al-Ahli vs Al-Budaiya
2:1
Dec 27, 2022 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Ahli
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Budaiya Compare

Top Goalscorer Jassim A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Khalifa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Ahli Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Hashash A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamidou R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Budaiya 21 / 100
Al-Ahli 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Budaiya Al-Ahli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al-Ahli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Budaiya scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Al-Ahli conceded in 72% of 36 recent games.

Solid form: Al-Budaiya remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Budaiya VS Al-Ahli
0.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Budaiya

(Home)
30 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 1
Al-Budaiya
25 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 3
Al-Najma
21 May
Al-Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al-Budaiya
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Al-Ahli

(Away)
15 May
Al-Budaiya
2 : 2
Al-Ahli
11 May
Al-Ahli
0 : 1
Al-Hidd
05 May
Sitra
0 : 2
Al-Ahli
29 Apr
Al-Ahli
2 : 3
Al Riffa
17 Apr
Bahrain SC
1 : 2
Al-Ahli
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al-Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al-Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al-Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al-Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al-Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)