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Al Budaiya vs Al Najma Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Al Budaiya Logo

Al Budaiya

0 - 3
FT
Al Najma Logo

Al Najma

Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
56' Event
75'
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Najma in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Najma.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Budaiya
15%
Draws
59%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Najma average 1.25 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Budaiya's 1.15.
  • Model gives Al Najma a 59% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Budaiya Clean Sheet 16%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Budaiya Al Najma
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.15 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
0:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Budaiya
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 King's Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Budaiya 23 / 100
Al Najma 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Budaiya Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Najma let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Budaiya scored in 58% of their last 33 games.

Recent resilience: Al Budaiya stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Budaiya VS Al Najma
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Budaiya

(Home)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al Budaiya
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Al Najma

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Najma 3 3 0 0 8:3 9
2 Manama Club 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Al Budaiya 3 1 0 2 1:4 3
4 Al Ittihad 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
Promotion - Premier League (Main)