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Al Budaiya vs Al Najma Prediction & H2H Stats

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Humood Al Dosari A.
77' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Budaiya and Al Najma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Budaiya
15%
Draws
59%
Al Najma
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Budaiya have managed 1.15 goals a game lately — Al Najma are scoring more at 1.25.
  • Al Najma are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Al Budaiya Clean Sheet 16%
Al Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Budaiya Al Najma
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 11 11
Draws 5 5
Losses 17 16
Goals Scored 1.15 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.66
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
0:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Najma vs Al Budaiya
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 King's Cup
Al Budaiya vs Al Najma
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Budaiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Al Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Humood Al Dosari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Budaiya 23 / 100
Al Najma 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Budaiya Al Najma

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Najma Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Najma conceded in 72% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Al Budaiya found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (33 games).

Al Budaiya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Budaiya VS Al Najma
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Budaiya

(Home)
30 May
Al Ittihad
0 : 1
Al Budaiya
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
21 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 1
Manama Club
15 May
Al Budaiya
2 : 2
Al Ahli
10 May
Aali Club
2 : 0
Al Budaiya
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Al Najma

(Away)
11 Sept
Al Najma
2 : 3
East Riffa
02 Sept
Malkia
0 : 1
Al Najma
27 Aug
Al Najma
2 : 7
Al Khalidiyah
30 May
Al Najma
3 : 2
Manama Club
25 May
Al Budaiya
0 : 3
Al Najma
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Muharraq 22 17 4 1 45:7 55
2 Al Khalidiyah 22 18 0 4 42:16 54
3 Al Riffa 22 15 4 3 41:17 49
4 Malkia 22 9 6 7 23:16 33
5 Aali Club 22 9 4 9 19:20 31
6 Al Hidd 22 8 6 8 29:23 30
7 Al Ahli 22 7 6 9 28:28 27
8 Sitra 22 7 6 9 22:31 27
9 Al Budaiya 22 6 4 12 24:34 22
10 Al Najma 22 6 4 12 21:35 22
11 Al Shabbab 22 3 5 14 8:34 14
12 Bahrain SC 22 2 1 19 15:56 7
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)