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Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma

Bahrain Bahrain

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

61' Event
Humood Al Dosari A.
77' Event
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Budaiya and Al-Najma finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al-Budaiya
6%
Draws
90%
Al-Najma
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Najma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Najma haven't matched Al-Budaiya's recent run of results.
  • Al-Najma are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Al-Budaiya Clean Sheet 23%
Al-Najma Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Budaiya Al-Najma
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 17 18
Goals Scored 0.5 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
0:3
Apr 16, 2026 Premier League
Al-Najma vs Al-Budaiya
1:2
Nov 8, 2025 Premier League
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
1:1
Oct 14, 2023 Bahrain Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
1:0
Oct 11, 2022 King's Cup
Al-Budaiya vs Al-Najma
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Budaiya Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Al-Najma Compare

Top Goalscorer Humood Al Dosari A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Budaiya 10 / 100
Al-Najma 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Budaiya Al-Najma

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NAJ Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Budaiya found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (33 games).

Defensive concern: Al-Najma conceded in 88% of 34 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Al-Budaiya has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al-Budaiya VS Al-Najma
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Muharraq22174145:755
2Al Khalidiyah22180442:1654
3Al Riffa22154341:1749
4Malkia2296723:1633
5Aali Club2294919:2031
6Al-Hidd2286829:2330
7Al-Ahli2276928:2827
8Sitra2276922:3127
9Al-Budaiya22641224:3422
10Al-Najma22641221:3522
11Al-Shabbab2235148:3414
12Bahrain SC22211915:567