Sport Picks
Al Dahra vs Al Ahly Tripoli Prediction & H2H Stats
Libya
Premier League 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Al Ahly Tripoli in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ahly Tripoli.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
20%
61%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Ahly Tripoli
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
61%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Ahly Tripoli lately — more wins on the board than Al Dahra.
- 61% — that's where the model lands on Al Ahly Tripoli taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Ahly Tripoli have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 27%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Al Dahra Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahly Tripoli Clean Sheet 18%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Dahra | Al Ahly Tripoli |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 32 |
| Wins | 5 | 23 |
| Draws | 11 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 2 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.82 | 1.98 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 9, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Dahra
1:0
Jan 20, 2026 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al Ahly Tripoli
1:3
Mar 9, 2025 Premier League
Al Ahly Tripoli vs Al Dahra
1:1
Jan 10, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Al Ahly Tripoli
0:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Dahra 10 / 100
Al Ahly Tripoli 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Dahra Al Ahly Tripoli
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Ahly Tripoli Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Dahra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Defensive concern: Al Ahly Tripoli conceded in 34% of 32 recent games.
Recent resilience: Al Dahra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Al Dahra VS Al Ahly Tripoli
1.14 Goals Scored 2.25
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 63%
57% Over 2.5 50%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Dahra
(Home) 23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2 Al Malaab El Libby
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2 Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0 Al Dahra
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
Page 1 of 7
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2 Al Malaab El Libby
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3 Al Madina
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3 Al Qadisiyah
04 Mar
Al Dahra
0 : 1 Asswehly
02 Feb
Al Dahra
1 : 1 Abu Salim
Page 1 of 3
Al Ahly Tripoli
(Away) 12 Sept
Al Ahly Tripoli
4 : 0 KMKM
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
24 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
0 : 0 Asswehly
20 May
Al Ahly Tripoli
2 : 1 Olympic Azzaweya
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
KMKM
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
14 May
Al Madina
0 : 1 Al Ahly Tripoli
07 May
Al-Ittihad
0 : 0 Al Ahly Tripoli
18 Apr
Al-Khmes
1 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
14 Mar
Al Watan
0 : 3 Al Ahly Tripoli
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ahly Tripoli | 18 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 47:9 | 47 |
| 2 | Asswehly | 18 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 35:9 | 43 |
| 3 | Al Madina | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 23:22 | 28 |
| 4 | Al Watan | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 14:18 | 23 |
| 5 | Assabah | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 12:18 | 22 |
| 6 | Al Malaab El Libby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 15:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Al Khmes | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 19:31 | 20 |
| 8 | Al Qadisiyah | 18 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 11:24 | 19 |
| 9 | Al Dahra | 18 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 20:27 | 14 |
| 10 | Abu Salim | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 13:30 | 13 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ittihad | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 35:9 | 42 |
| 2 | Olympic Azzaweya | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25:11 | 31 |
| 3 | Al Ittihad Misurata | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 21:11 | 27 |
| 4 | Al Majd | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 14:13 | 23 |
| 5 | Al Shomooa | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24:19 | 22 |
| 6 | Shabab Al Ghar | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 17:27 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Tirsana | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 15:23 | 16 |
| 8 | Ittihad Gharyan | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:25 | 10 |
| 9 | Abi Al Ashar | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 9:32 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Military Union | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 26:9 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Hilal Benghazi | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 20:11 | 34 |
| 3 | Al Ahly Benghazi | 16 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 23:6 | 33 |
| 4 | Al Taawun | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 19:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Darnes | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 16:16 | 20 |
| 6 | Al Sadaqa | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 16:17 | 19 |
| 7 | Al Anwar | 16 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 12:23 | 11 |
| 8 | Al Borouq | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7:21 | 10 |
| 9 | Al Suqoor | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13:35 | 6 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Nasr | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 28:7 | 35 |
| 2 | Al Akhdar | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 16:9 | 28 |
| 3 | Al Afreeki | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 23 |
| 4 | Al Tahaddi | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:14 | 21 |
| 5 | Khaleej Sirte | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 25:22 | 19 |
| 6 | Wefaq Ajdabiya | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:17 | 18 |
| 7 | Al Murooj SC | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 16:24 | 13 |
| 8 | Al Andalus | 14 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 1:38 | 0 |
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
