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Al Dahra vs Assabah

Libya Libya

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Dahra and Assabah finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Dahra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Al Dahra
20%
Draws
51%
Assabah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Assabah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Assabah have managed 0.67 goals a game lately — Al Dahra are scoring more at 1.15.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Al Dahra Clean Sheet 20%
Assabah Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dahra Assabah
Matches Played 34 18
Wins 6 6
Draws 12 4
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.15 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.59 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Assabah vs Al Dahra
0:0
Dec 25, 2025 Premier League
Al Dahra vs Assabah
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dahra 31 / 100
Assabah 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dahra Assabah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Dahra Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Dahra found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (34 games).

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Assabah let in goals in 56% of their last 18 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Dahra stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Dahra VS Assabah
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dahra

(Home)
23 Apr
Al Dahra
1 : 2
Al Malaab El Libby
18 Apr
Abu Salim
1 : 2
Al Dahra
13 Apr
Al Dahra
3 : 3
Al Madina
09 Apr
Al Ahly Tripoli
1 : 0
Al Dahra
15 Mar
Al Dahra
2 : 3
Al Qadisiyah
Page 1 of 7

Assabah

(Away)
23 Apr
Assabah
1 : 0
Al Madina
18 Apr
Al Qadisiyah
1 : 0
Assabah
13 Apr
Assabah
0 : 3
Asswehly
08 Apr
Al-Khmes
2 : 2
Assabah
16 Mar
Assabah
1 : 0
Abu Salim
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ahly Tripoli 18 15 2 1 47:9 47
2 Asswehly 18 13 4 1 35:9 43
3 Al Madina 18 8 4 6 23:22 28
4 Al Watan 18 6 5 7 14:18 23
5 Assabah 18 6 4 8 12:18 22
6 Al Malaab El Libby 18 5 5 8 15:21 20
7 Al-Khmes 18 5 5 8 19:31 20
8 Al Qadisiyah 18 6 2 10 11:24 19
9 Al Dahra 18 3 5 10 20:27 14
10 Abu Salim 18 3 4 11 13:30 13
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad 16 13 3 0 35:9 42
2 Olympic Azzaweya 16 9 4 3 25:11 31
3 Al Ittihad Misurata 16 7 6 3 21:11 27
4 Al-Majd 16 6 5 5 14:13 23
5 Al Shomooa 16 6 4 6 24:19 22
6 Shabab Al-Ghar 16 4 6 6 17:27 18
7 Al Tirsana 16 3 7 6 15:23 16
8 Ittihad Gharyan 16 2 4 10 10:25 10
9 Abi Al Ashar 16 1 3 12 9:32 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Military Union 16 10 5 1 26:9 35
2 Al Hilal Benghazi 16 10 4 2 20:11 34
3 Al Ahly Benghazi 16 9 6 1 23:6 33
4 Al Taawun 16 7 5 4 19:14 26
5 Darnes 16 5 5 6 16:16 20
6 Al Sadaqa 16 5 4 7 16:17 19
7 Al-Anwar 16 1 8 7 12:23 11
8 Al Borouq 16 2 4 10 7:21 10
9 Al-Suqoor 16 1 3 12 13:35 6
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nasr 14 11 2 1 28:7 35
2 Al Akhdar 14 8 4 2 16:9 28
3 Al-Afreeki 14 7 2 5 29:18 23
4 Al Tahaddi 14 5 6 3 21:14 21
5 Khaleej Sirte 14 5 4 5 25:22 19
6 Wefaq Ajdabiya 14 5 3 6 13:17 18
7 Al Murooj SC 14 4 1 9 16:24 13
8 Al-Andalus 14 0 0 14 1:38 0
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)