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Al Dhafra vs Bani Yas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

League Cup Sheikh Hamdan Bin Zayed Stadium, Madinat Zayed
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Godwin S.
Assist: Koroma A.
16'
Marciano R.
18'
El Khaloui M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. The second leg ended 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Al Dhafra
15%
Draws
59%
Bani Yas
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bani Yas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Bani Yas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on Bani Yas taking it.
  • Bani Yas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bani Yas, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Bani Yas have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Al Dhafra Clean Sheet 12%
Bani Yas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Dhafra Bani Yas
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 22 13
Goals Scored 0.8 1.41
Goals Conceded 2 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 League Cup
Al Dhafra vs Bani Yas
1:3
May 5, 2026 UAE League
Bani Yas vs Al Dhafra
2:2
Dec 29, 2025 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Bani Yas
0:2
Apr 1, 2023 UAE League
Al Dhafra vs Bani Yas
2:4
Jan 31, 2023 Presidents Cup
Bani Yas vs Al Dhafra
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Dhafra Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Bani Yas Compare

Top Goalscorer Godwin S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marciano R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Dhafra 27 / 100
Bani Yas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Dhafra Bani Yas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bani Yas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Bani Yas conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Al Dhafra's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al Dhafra went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Dhafra VS Bani Yas
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Dhafra

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Wahda
2 : 0
Al Dhafra
01 Oct
Al Sharjah
2 : 1
Al Dhafra
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Hatta
1 : 2
Al Dhafra
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
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Bani Yas

(Away)
09 Oct
Ajman
1 : 0
Bani Yas
01 Oct
Bani Yas
3 : 1
Al Wahda
20 Sept
Al Dhafra
1 : 3
Bani Yas
11 Sept
Khorfakkan
0 : 0
Bani Yas
05 Sept
Bani Yas
0 : 1
Hatta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Wasl 3 3 0 0 9:3 9
2 Ajman 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Al Nasr 3 2 1 0 8:3 7
4 Al Jazira 3 2 1 0 3:0 7
5 Bani Yas 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
6 Shabab Al Ahli Dubai 3 1 2 0 5:4 5
7 Al Sharjah 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
8 Ittihad Kalba 3 1 1 1 4:7 4
9 Al Wahda 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
10 United FC 3 1 0 2 5:7 3
11 Al Ain 3 0 1 2 6:8 1
12 Hatta 3 0 1 2 5:9 1
13 Khorfakkan 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
14 Al Dhafra 3 0 0 3 2:7 0
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)