Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Diriyah vs Al Orubah

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Division 1 Prince Turki bin Abdul Aziz Stadium, Riyadh
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Al Hujaili A.
36'
Doumbia A.
40' Event
Laborde G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Al Diriyah and Al Orubah finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Diriyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al Diriyah
30%
Draws
34%
Al Orubah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Diriyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Diriyah carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Al Diriyah taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 14%
Al Orubah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Diriyah Al Orubah
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 21 17
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 2.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Orubah
3:1
Oct 28, 2025 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Al Diriyah
3:3
Jan 24, 2022 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Al Diriyah
3:1
Sep 15, 2021 Division 1
Al Diriyah vs Al Orubah
1:0
Jan 14, 2016 Division 1
Al Orubah vs Al Diriyah
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Diriyah Compare

Top Goalscorer Laborde G.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Marega M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Orubah Compare

Top Goalscorer Simy
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Diriyah 35 / 100
Al Orubah 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Diriyah Al Orubah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Diriyah found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Al Orubah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Solid form: Al Diriyah remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Diriyah VS Al Orubah
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Diriyah

(Home)
18 Jul
Trelleborg
1 : 4
Al Diriyah
23 May
Al Diriyah
2 : 1
Al-Ula
18 May
Al Diriyah
3 : 0
Al Jabalain
14 May
Al Diriyah
3 : 2
Al Bukiryah
09 May
Al Anwar
4 : 2
Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 7

Al Orubah

(Away)
18 May
Al-Ula
2 : 1
Al Orubah
14 May
Al Orubah
3 : 1
Al Anwar
09 May
Jeddah Club
0 : 4
Al Orubah
02 May
Al Orubah
2 : 0
Al Wehda
27 Apr
Al Jandal
1 : 2
Al Orubah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Abha34245564:3577
2Al-Faisaly342110376:3273
3Al Diriyah34226679:3972
4Al-Ula34218572:3371
5Al Orubah34205956:3865
6Al Jabalain34178959:3859
7Al Raed3414101064:4652
8Al Zulfi3411121146:4545
9Al Taee341281448:5244
10Al Wehda341271552:5843
11Al Bukiryah341271536:4843
12Al Anwar3410111353:5441
13Jeddah Club349121334:5139
14Al Adalah34891744:7033
15Al Jandal34881834:6032
16Al Batin34572239:6922
17Al Arabi (Saudi Arabia)34562324:6721
18Al Jubail34352628:7314
Promotion - Saudi Professional League 2026/2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)