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Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Mon, Mar 9, 2026
VS
08:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Champions League 2025/2026. Al-Duhail go into this one as the clear favorite. Recent numbers: Al-Duhail at 1.6 goals for, 1.6 against; Al Ahli SC at 1.75 for, 0.75 against. Past meetings favor Al Ahli SC slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al-Duhail. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Al-Duhail
28%
Draws
22%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Al-Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ahli SC lately — more wins on the board than Al-Duhail.
  • Al-Duhail are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Al Ahli SC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 32.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 20%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Duhail Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 18
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.6 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.60 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al-Duhail
1:0
Mar 9, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC
0:0
Sep 29, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC
2:2
Apr 30, 2021 AFC Champions League
Al-Duhail vs Al Ahli SC
1:1
Apr 18, 2021 AFC Champions League
Al Ahli SC vs Al-Duhail
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Duhail 49 / 100
Al Ahli SC 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Duhail Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Duhail's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Al Ahli SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Solid form: Al-Duhail remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Duhail VS Al Ahli SC
1.6 Goals Scored 1.75
1.6 Goals Conceded 0.75
80% Over 1.5 75%
80% Over 2.5 50%
40% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Duhail

(Home)
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Al-Duhail
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al-Duhail
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Al Ahli SC

(Away)
24 Jul
Al Ahli SC
1 : 3
Vitoria Guimaraes
19 Jul
Rio Ave
2 : 2
Al Ahli SC
15 Jul
Holstein Kiel
4 : 1
Al Ahli SC
20 May
Al Khaleej
1 : 4
Al Ahli SC
16 May
Al Ahli SC
3 : 0
Al Kholood
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal3
Al-Sadd4
Vissel Kobe3
Seoul1
Al Ahli SC1
Al-Duhail0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima2
Johor DT3
Machida Zelvia1
Gangwon0
Al Ittihad1
Al Wahda0
Buriram United F.C.2
Melbourne City1
Tractor0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd3
Vissel Kobe4
Al Ahli SC2
Johor DT1
Machida Zelvia1
Al Ittihad0
Buriram United F.C.2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe1
Al Ahli SC2
Machida Zelvia1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai0
Final
Al Ahli SC1
Machida Zelvia0