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Al-Duhail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)

Qatar Qatar

QSL Abdullah bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
02:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Duhail host Al Arabi (Qatar) in the QSL. Al-Duhail go into this one as the clear favorite. Al-Duhail have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.25 conceded recently, against Al Arabi (Qatar)'s 1.63 scored and 1.75 conceded. Past meetings favor Al-Duhail slightly — 3-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 1, 2026, ending 4:0. Model xG sits at 1.20 vs 1.00, favoring Al-Duhail. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al-Duhail
6%
Draws
4%
Al Arabi (Qatar)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al-Duhail

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Arabi (Qatar) lately — more wins on the board than Al-Duhail.
  • Model gives Al-Duhail a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Al-Duhail Clean Sheet 20%
Al Arabi (Qatar) Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Duhail Al Arabi (Qatar)
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 12 16
Draws 7 4
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Emir Cup
Al-Duhail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
4:0
Feb 21, 2026 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:1
Oct 19, 2025 QSL Cup
Al-Duhail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
0:4
Sep 20, 2025 QSL
Al Arabi (Qatar) vs Al-Duhail
1:8
Apr 11, 2025 QSL
Al-Duhail vs Al Arabi (Qatar)
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Duhail 85 / 100
Al Arabi (Qatar) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Duhail Al Arabi (Qatar)

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Al-Duhail found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Al Arabi (Qatar) conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Al Arabi (Qatar)'s recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Duhail VS Al Arabi (Qatar)
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Duhail

(Home)
05 May
Al-Duhail
1 : 4
Al-Sadd
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Qatar SC
1 : 2
Al-Duhail
13 Apr
Al Ahli SC
1 : 0
Al-Duhail
08 Apr
Al Ahli
2 : 1
Al-Duhail
Page 1 of 7

Al Arabi (Qatar)

(Away)
27 Jul
Neom SC
4 : 1
Al Arabi (Qatar)
01 May
Al-Duhail
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
27 Apr
Al Rayyan
4 : 0
Al Arabi (Qatar)
13 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 2
Al Sailiya
08 Apr
Al Arabi (Qatar)
1 : 1
Qatar SC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Sadd00000:00
2Al-Gharafa00000:00
3Al Arabi (Qatar)00000:00
4Al Rayyan00000:00
5Qatar SC00000:00
6Al Wakra00000:00
7Al Sailiya00000:00
8Al Ahli00000:00
9Al-Duhail00000:00
10Shamal00000:00
11Al-Shahaniya00000:00
12Lusail00000:00
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)