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Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2016/2017
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
46' Event
60' Event

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2016/2017 game between Al Egtmaaey Tripoli and Tripoli SC finished 3-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tripoli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
6%
Draws
90%
Tripoli SC
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Tripoli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Tripoli SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Tripoli SC are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tripoli SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Clean Sheet 20%
Tripoli SC Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Tripoli SC
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 5 11
Draws 3 8
Losses 22 14
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 0.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2017 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC
3:6
Nov 20, 2016 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
4:0
May 15, 2016 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC
1:3
Oct 23, 2015 Premier League
Tripoli SC vs Al Egtmaaey Tripoli
1:1
Mar 28, 2014 Premier League
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli vs Tripoli SC
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli 10 / 100
Tripoli SC 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Egtmaaey Tripoli Tripoli SC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TRI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Al Egtmaaey Tripoli's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tripoli SC conceded in 59% of 32 recent games.

Tripoli SC's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Tripoli SC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahed22154341:1449
2Salam Zgharta22124635:2940
3Nejmeh SC22116536:2233
4Al Ansar2295835:4032
5Shabab Baalbeck2294926:2431
6Tadamon22931025:2530
7Racing2286826:3030
8Akha22921135:3729
9Tripoli SC22841034:3128
10Safa2286832:3227
11Al Sahel22741120:2325
12Al Egtmaaey Tripoli22221821:598