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Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Nassr - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Abdullah Al Dabil Stadium, Dammam
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Match Events

12'
Bento
16'
Sub
Angelo In: Al Otaibi A.
Out: Angelo
31' Event
Duda O.

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Ettifaq FC and Al Nassr finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Nassr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al Ettifaq FC
35%
Draws
35%
Al Nassr
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ettifaq FC haven't matched Al Nassr's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Ettifaq FC Clean Sheet 10%
Al Nassr Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ettifaq FC Al Nassr
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 19
Draws 7 2
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.53 2.43
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Nassr
2:3
Apr 15, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq FC
1:0
Dec 30, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Nassr
2:2
Feb 21, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Nassr vs Al Ettifaq FC
2:3
Sep 20, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ettifaq FC vs Al Nassr
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ettifaq FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Duda O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Medran A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Al Nassr Compare

Top Goalscorer Mane S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Al Amri A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ettifaq FC 30 / 100
Al Nassr 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ettifaq FC Al Nassr

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Al Ettifaq FC scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Al Nassr has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Al Ettifaq FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ettifaq FC VS Al Nassr
1 Goals Scored 2.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ettifaq FC

(Home)
10 Oct
Al Ettifaq FC
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
11 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 3
Al Ettifaq FC
08 Sept
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 0
Al Faisaly
04 Sept
Abha
0 : 1
Al Ettifaq FC
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 6

Al Nassr

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
15 Sept
Al Ain
4 : 0
Al Nassr
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
09 Sept
Al Nassr
2 : 1
Abha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
17 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)