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Al Fateh vs Al Ahli SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Al Fateh Logo

Al Fateh

0 - 4
FT
Al Ahli SC Logo

Al Ahli SC

Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Trincao F.
46'
Sub
Youssouf Z. In: Al Fawaz A.
Out: Youssouf Z.
46'
Sub
Matheus Goncalves In: Spertsyan E.
Out: Matheus Goncalves
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Saudi Professional League game between Al Fateh and Al Ahli SC finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahli SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Al Fateh
35%
Draws
45%
Al Ahli SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ahli SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Fateh haven't matched Al Ahli SC's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%
Al Ahli SC Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Ahli SC
Matches Played 29 37
Wins 3 23
Draws 11 4
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.86 1.95
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli SC
0:4
May 6, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh
3:1
Dec 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli SC
2:1
Feb 7, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ahli SC vs Al Fateh
2:0
Aug 27, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Ahli SC
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Al Ahli SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Trincao F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Toney I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 30 / 100
Al Ahli SC 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Ahli SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ahli SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ahli SC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 37 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Al Fateh stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Al Fateh found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Ahli SC
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
26 Aug
Al Faisaly
1 : 1
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

Al Ahli SC

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
14 Sept
Al Ahli SC
1 : 1
Pakhtakor
11 Sept
Al Ahli SC
3 : 1
Al Hazem Rass
08 Sept
Al Qadsiah
3 : 2
Al Ahli SC
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0
Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)