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Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Al Fateh club stadium, Al-Hofuf
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Al Khaibari A. I.
28' Event
Nunez D.
(Penalty)
35' Event
Al Abdulwahed F.
Assist: Batna M.

AI Match Summary

Al Diriyah in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Diriyah.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Al Fateh
30%
Draws
54%
Al Diriyah
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Diriyah

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Diriyah lately — more wins on the board than Al Fateh.
  • Model gives Al Diriyah a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 17%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fateh Al Diriyah
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 17
Draws 10 5
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 0.86 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Diriyah
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fateh Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Abdulwahed F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Al Diriyah Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fateh 23 / 100
Al Diriyah 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fateh Al Diriyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Diriyah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Diriyah has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Al Fateh's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Fateh went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Fateh VS Al Diriyah
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Fateh

(Home)
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
05 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 0
Al Fateh
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Al Diriyah

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 8 3 3 2 12:15 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 8 2 3 3 8:10 9
11 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
12 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
13 Al Fayha 8 1 4 3 8:12 7
14 Al Khaleej 8 0 6 2 4:11 6
15 Al Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
16 Al Fateh 8 0 3 5 4:15 3
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)