Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Al Rashidi M.
Assist: Benzia Y.
23' Event
Sakala F.
Assist: Radif A.
38'
Sub
Al Khaibari M. In: Al Harfi A.
Out: Al Khaibari M.

AI Match Summary

Al Fayha in this Saudi Professional League matchup, with the score ending 4-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Fayha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Al Fayha
33%
Draws
40%
Al Riyadh
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Al Riyadh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Fayha lately — more wins on the board than Al Riyadh.
  • Win probability leans Al Riyadh's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 18%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Fayha Al Riyadh
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 8 6
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.63 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
4:2
Jan 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
2:0
Mar 15, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Fayha Compare

Top Goalscorer Al Rashidi M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sakala F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Al Riyadh Compare

Top Goalscorer Barbet Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sylla M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Fayha 28 / 100
Al Riyadh 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Fayha Al Riyadh

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RIY Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Al Riyadh conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

Al Fayha scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Al Fayha has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Fayha VS Al Riyadh
1.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Nassr34282491:2886
2Al Hilal34259085:2784
3Al Ahli SC34256371:2581
4Al Qadsiah34238383:3477
5Al Ittihad341671155:4855
6Al Taawon341581159:4653
7Al Ettifaq FC341481251:5550
8Neom SC341291343:4845
9Al Hazem Rass341191438:5742
10Al Fayha341081641:5438
11Al Fateh349101541:5537
12Al Khaleej341071754:6237
13Al Shabab348111544:5735
14Al Kholood34961939:6133
15Al Riyadh34791835:6330
16Damac346111732:5529
17Al Okhdood34552427:7020
18Al Najma34372432:7616