Sport Picks
Match Events
16'
16'
Lazaro
Assist: Jason Remeseiro
32'
32'
Mensah B.
46'
46'
Sub
Hazazi S. In: Qasim H.
Out: Hazazi S.
AI Match Summary
The Saudi Professional League game between Al Fayha and Al Riyadh finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
35%
37%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Riyadh
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Al Riyadh have managed 1.18 goals a game lately — Al Fayha are scoring more at 1.21.
- 28% — that's where the model lands on Al Fayha taking it.
- Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Al Fayha Clean Sheet 68%
Al Riyadh Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Fayha | Al Riyadh |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.18 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.54 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
4:2
Jan 10, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha
1:1
Feb 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Riyadh vs Al Fayha
0:0
Sep 29, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
2:0
Mar 15, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Fayha vs Al Riyadh
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Fayha Compare
Top Goalscorer Lazaro
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Al Riyadh Compare
Top Goalscorer Trezeguet
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Fayha 50 / 100
Al Riyadh 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Fayha Al Riyadh
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Al Fayha Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Fayha's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Defensive concern: Al Riyadh conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.
Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.
Al Fayha has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Al Fayha VS Al Riyadh
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Fayha
(Home) 12 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 0 Al Fayha
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1 Al Fayha
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2 Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
25 Aug
Al Taawon
0 : 0 Al Fayha
Page 1 of 6
03 Sept
Al Fayha
2 : 2 Al Kholood
28 Aug
Al Fayha
3 : 2 Abha
20 Aug
Al Fayha
0 : 3 Al Hilal
21 May
Al Fayha
0 : 1 Al Hilal
09 May
Al Fayha
1 : 2 Al Qadsiah
Page 1 of 3
Al Riyadh
(Away) 13 Sept
Al Riyadh
2 : 0 Al Kholood
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
28 Aug
Al Riyadh
1 : 0 Neom SC
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 6
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0 Al Riyadh
04 Sept
Al Ahli SC
5 : 0 Al Riyadh
25 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 3 Al Riyadh
17 Aug
Al Zulfi
0 : 2 Al Riyadh
14 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
4 : 2 Al Riyadh
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Hilal | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 26:7 | 21 |
| 2 | Al Qadsiah | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 19 |
| 3 | Al Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 19:7 | 19 |
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14:9 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli SC | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq FC | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:12 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Al Diriyah | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | 11 |
| 10 | Al Hazem Rass | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | 8 |
| 12 | Al Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej | 8 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4:11 | 6 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | 4 |
| 15 | Al Faisaly | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | 3 |
| 17 | Al Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | 2 |
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
