Sport Picks
Al Gharafa vs Al Arabi (Qatar) - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
AI Match Summary
Al Gharafa host Al Arabi (Qatar) in the QSL. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Al Gharafa have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.97 conceded recently, against Al Arabi (Qatar)'s 1.94 scored and 1.68 conceded. Head-to-head, Al Gharafa have won 5 to Al Arabi (Qatar)'s 0, with 0 draws. They last met on Jan 15, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.81, favoring Al Arabi (Qatar). Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Al Arabi (Qatar) carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Al Arabi (Qatar) a 54% chance of winning this.
- Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Al Gharafa have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Gharafa | Al Arabi (Qatar) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.97 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Gharafa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 32 recent games.
Al Arabi (Qatar) let in goals in 77% of their last 31 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Al Gharafa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Gharafa
(Home)Al Arabi (Qatar)
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Rayyan | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 2 | Al Sadd | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 27:13 | 15 |
| 3 | Al Duhail | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 15:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 16:8 | 12 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 13:13 | 11 |
| 6 | Shamal | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 12:13 | 9 |
| 7 | Al Ahli | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 8 | Al Shahaniya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:19 | 7 |
| 9 | Lusail | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:8 | 6 |
| 10 | Al Gharafa | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 8:13 | 6 |
| 11 | Qatar SC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 9:16 | 6 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8:26 | 1 |
