Sport Picks
Al Gharafa vs Al Mesaimeer - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Qatar
QSL Cup Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
Match Events
19'
19'
Brahimi Y.
23'
23'
Brahimi Y.
34'
34'
Ounas A.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 4-2. This leg finished 4-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Al Gharafa lately — more wins on the board than Al Mesaimeer.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on Al Gharafa taking it.
- Al Gharafa have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Al Gharafa, who have won 3 of the last 4 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Al Gharafa have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 20%
Al Mesaimeer Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Gharafa | Al Mesaimeer |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 9 |
| Draws | 4 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.66 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2026 QSL Cup
Al Gharafa vs Al Mesaimeer
4:2
Aug 30, 2017 Club Friendly
Al Gharafa vs Al Mesaimeer
4:0
Jan 2, 2016 QSL
Al Mesaimeer vs Al Gharafa
0:2
Sep 18, 2015 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Al Mesaimeer
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Al Gharafa Compare
Top Goalscorer Brahimi Y.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ounas A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83
Al Mesaimeer Compare
Top Goalscorer Kouassi J. E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Souissi I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Al Gharafa 42 / 100
Al Mesaimeer 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Al Gharafa Al Mesaimeer
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Mesaimeer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.
Attacking prowess: Al Gharafa scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.
Al Mesaimeer's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Al Gharafa VS Al Mesaimeer
1.75 Goals Scored 0.86
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 57%
88% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Al Gharafa
(Home) 01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
05 Sept
Al Sadd
4 : 1 Al Gharafa
01 Sept
Al Sadd
2 : 1 Al Gharafa
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
11 Sept
Al Gharafa
0 : 0 Lusail
27 Aug
Al Gharafa
1 : 3 Shamal
21 Aug
Al Gharafa
2 : 1 Al Shahaniya
09 May
Al Gharafa
4 : 1 Al Sadd
Page 1 of 3
Al Mesaimeer
(Away) 01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
22 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
0 : 1 Al Waab
08 Sept
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 1 Al Kharitiyath
30 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 2 Umm-Salal
24 Aug
Al Mesaimeer
1 : 0 Muaither SC
Page 1 of 6
01 Oct
Al Gharafa
4 : 2 Al Mesaimeer
12 Apr
Lusail
3 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
05 Apr
Al Khor
2 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
08 Feb
Al Kharitiyath
2 : 0 Al Mesaimeer
26 Jan
Al Waab
3 : 1 Al Mesaimeer
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 6 |
| 2 | Al Duhail | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:1 | 6 |
| 3 | Umm-Salal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 6 |
| 4 | Qatar SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 4 |
| 5 | Al Wakra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 6 | Lusail | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 7 | Al Waab | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 4 |
| 8 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 3 |
| 9 | Muaither SC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 10 | Al Shahaniya | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 3 |
| 11 | Al Rayyan | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 2 |
| 12 | Al Sailiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 13 | Al Ahli | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 14 | Al Markhiya | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 15 | Al Kharitiyath | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 16 | Al Arabi (Qatar) | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
| 17 | Al Mesaimeer | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 0 |
| 18 | Al Khor | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | 0 |
| 19 | Al Bidda | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:5 | 0 |
Promotion - QSL Cup (Main)
