Sport Picks
Al Gharafa vs Esteghlal TEH - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Asia
AFC Champions League Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha 
AI Match Summary
Al Gharafa host Esteghlal TEH in the AFC Champions League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Recent numbers: Al Gharafa at 1.48 goals for, 2.07 against; Esteghlal TEH at 1.43 for, 0.5 against. Head-to-head, Al Gharafa have won 0 to Esteghlal TEH's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2024, ending 3:0. The numbers (0.63 xG vs 1.75) point toward Esteghlal TEH. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Esteghlal TEH carry the better recent record into this one.
- 45% — that's where the model lands on Esteghlal TEH taking it.
- European nights carry their own weight — this AFC Champions League fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Esteghlal TEH have taken 2 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Al Gharafa | Esteghlal TEH |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 9 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 16 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 1.43 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.07 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.63 | 1.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Al Gharafa's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Esteghlal TEH let in goals in 39% of their last 28 matches.
Al Gharafa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Al Gharafa
(Home)Esteghlal TEH
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:4 | 3 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 6 | Jeonbuk | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 7 | Daejeon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 8 | Buriram United F.C. | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Johor DT | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 11 | Port MTI FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 13 | Ratchaburi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:6 | 0 |
| 14 | Pohang | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 15 | Cong An Ha Noi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | 0 |
| 16 | Newcastle Jets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:7 | 0 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al Ain | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 3 |
| 2 | Esteghlal TEH | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Al Hilal | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 3 |
| 5 | Shabab Al Ahli Dubai | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 6 | Neftchi Fargona | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 7 | Pakhtakor | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 8 | Al Ittihad | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Al Ahli SC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 10 | Shamal | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 1 |
| 11 | Al Gharafa | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 12 | Al Wasl | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | 0 |
| 13 | Al Quwa Al Jawiya | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 14 | Tractor | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 15 | Al Sadd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | 0 |
| 16 | Al Nassr | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:4 | 0 |
