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Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Qatar Qatar

QSL Thani bin Jassim Stadium, Doha
Fri, Oct 30, 2026
VS
04:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Gharafa host Qatar SC in the QSL. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Al Gharafa at 1.34 goals for, 1.97 against; Qatar SC at 1.64 for, 1.96 against. Head-to-head, Al Gharafa have won 3 to Qatar SC's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Mar 12, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.56, favoring Qatar SC. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Al Gharafa
35%
Draws
46%
Qatar SC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Qatar SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Qatar SC average 1.64 goals a game right now, well clear of Al Gharafa's 1.34.
  • Al Gharafa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular QSL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Al Gharafa Clean Sheet 15%
Qatar SC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Gharafa Qatar SC
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 7 8
Losses 17 12
Goals Scored 1.34 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 12, 2026 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
2:0
Jan 19, 2026 QSL Cup
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
3:2
Nov 7, 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC
2:1
Feb 22, 2025 QSL
Al Gharafa vs Qatar SC
4:2
Sep 22, 2024 QSL
Qatar SC vs Al Gharafa
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharafa 41 / 100
Qatar SC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Gharafa Qatar SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Qatar SC let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Al Gharafa scored in 75% of their last 32 games.

Al Gharafa has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Gharafa VS Qatar SC
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Gharafa

(Home)
26 Oct
Al Ahli SC
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
22 Oct
Al Gharafa
2 : 2
Al Ahli
18 Oct
Al Gharafa
0 : 0
Al Rayyan
12 Oct
Al Gharafa
1 : 2
Esteghlal TEH
08 Oct
Al Wakra
3 : 2
Al Gharafa
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Qatar SC

(Away)
27 Oct
Al Riffa
4 : 1
Qatar SC
23 Oct
Shamal
2 : 3
Qatar SC
17 Oct
Al Sailiya
2 : 2
Qatar SC
13 Oct
Qatar SC
1 : 1
Al Zawraa
09 Oct
Qatar SC
0 : 3
Al Rayyan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Rayyan 7 5 2 0 16:3 17
2 Al Sadd 7 5 0 2 27:13 15
3 Al Duhail 7 4 3 0 15:6 15
4 Al Arabi (Qatar) 7 3 3 1 16:8 12
5 Al Wakra 7 3 2 2 13:13 11
6 Shamal 7 2 3 2 12:13 9
7 Al Ahli 7 2 2 3 12:14 8
8 Al Shahaniya 7 2 1 4 8:19 7
9 Lusail 7 1 3 3 8:8 6
10 Al Gharafa 7 1 3 3 8:13 6
11 Qatar SC 7 1 3 3 9:16 6
12 Al Sailiya 7 0 1 6 8:26 1
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - QSL (Relegation)
Relegation - QSL 2 2027/2028 (Main)