Sport Picks

Iraq

Stars League

Al Gharraf

4 - 3

Duhok

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Kuku K.

45'

Ghariani B.

45'

Ben Souda Y.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Stars League game between Al Gharraf and Duhok finished 4-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Gharraf.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Al Gharraf

20%

Draws

38%

Duhok

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Gharraf

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Duhok carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Al Gharraf a 42% chance of winning this.
Regular Stars League form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 38%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%

Al Gharraf Clean Sheet 15%

Duhok Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Gharraf	Duhok
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	8	10
Draws	8	9
Losses	14	10
Goals Scored	0.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	0.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2026 Stars League

Duhok vs Al Gharraf

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Feb 20, 2026 Stars League

Al Gharraf vs Duhok

Possession: 57% - 50% Cards: 1 - 1

4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Gharraf Compare

Top Goalscorer Kuku K.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ghariani B.

2 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.44

Duhok Compare

Top Goalscorer Ben Souda Y.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Darwiche K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Gharraf 41 / 100

Duhok 37 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Gharraf Duhok

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Duhok conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Al Gharraf has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Al Gharraf found the back of the net in 57% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Al Gharraf VS Duhok

0.88 Goals Scored 1.75

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Al Quwa Al Jawiya	38	27	8	3	62:28	89
2	Al Shorta	38	24	8	6	69:32	80
3	Erbil	38	23	10	5	59:32	79
4	Al Zawraa	38	17	15	6	50:32	66
5	Al-Karma	38	17	14	7	53:26	65
6	Al Talaba	38	18	11	9	53:38	65
7	Al Karkh	38	16	12	10	51:41	60
8	Newroz	38	16	6	16	48:47	54
9	Zakho	38	14	11	13	49:45	53
10	Duhok	38	13	11	14	44:45	50
11	Diyala	38	13	10	15	40:42	49
12	Al Naft	38	11	15	12	33:34	48
13	Al Mosul	38	11	14	13	46:49	47
14	Al Gharraf	38	11	11	16	40:43	44
15	Naft Missan	38	11	10	17	48:57	43
16	Al Minaa	38	9	13	16	38:47	40
17	Al Kahraba	37	11	5	21	44:56	38
18	Baghdad	38	10	7	21	47:68	37
19	Al Najaf	37	6	5	26	31:68	23
20	Al-Qassim	38	0	6	32	21:96	6