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Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
El Moussa M.
23'
Mitima I.
55' Event
Asaad M.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Premier League 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Ghazieh
17%
Draws
13%
Shabab Baalbeck
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ghazieh

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Al Ghazieh at 1.25 per game, Shabab Baalbeck at 1.
  • Win probability leans Al Ghazieh's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Premier League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Al Ghazieh Clean Sheet 68%
Shabab Baalbeck Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ghazieh Shabab Baalbeck
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 4
Draws 8 6
Losses 18 20
Goals Scored 1.25 1
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck
1:2
May 19, 2025 Premier League
Al Ghazieh vs Shabab Baalbeck
2:2
Apr 18, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh
1:1
Jan 25, 2025 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh
1:0
Feb 2, 2019 Premier League
Shabab Baalbeck vs Al Ghazieh
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ghazieh Compare

Top Goalscorer Qabisi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Shabab Baalbeck Compare

Top Goalscorer El Moussa M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Asaad M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ghazieh 77 / 100
Shabab Baalbeck 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ghazieh Shabab Baalbeck

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GHA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Shabab Baalbeck's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Difficult form: Shabab Baalbeck registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Al Ghazieh's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ghazieh VS Shabab Baalbeck
1.25 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ghazieh

(Home)
05 Jul
Al Ghazieh
1 : 4
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
30 Jun
Al Ghazieh
0 : 3
Al Sahel
26 Jun
Bourj
1 : 0
Al Ghazieh
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Racing
0 : 4
Al Ghazieh
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Shabab Baalbeck

(Away)
05 Jul
Al Sahel
5 : 1
Shabab Baalbeck
01 Jul
Shabab Baalbeck
0 : 3
Bourj
25 Jun
Shabab Baalbeck
1 : 0
Racing
19 Jun
Al Ghazieh
1 : 2
Shabab Baalbeck
14 Jun
Al Riyadi Abbasiyah
3 : 0
Shabab Baalbeck
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