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Al Hikma vs Al Ahed

Lebanon Lebanon

Premier League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Zbib M.
Assist: Al Sabbagh B.
11' Event
Zbib M.
Assist: Al Sabbagh B.
22' Event
Traore S.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Al Hikma and Al Ahed finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ahed.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Al Hikma
30%
Draws
16%
Al Ahed
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hikma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Ahed carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 54% — that's where the model lands on Al Hikma taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 15%
Al Ahed Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hikma Al Ahed
Matches Played 39 36
Wins 16 19
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 1.15 1.56
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
1:0
Feb 11, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Al Ahed vs Al Hikma
0:1
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
1:3
Jul 16, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
3:1
Jun 20, 2025 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al Ahed
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hikma Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Al Ahed Compare

Top Goalscorer Zbib M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ezzeddine H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hikma 75 / 100
Al Ahed 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hikma Al Ahed

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hikma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hikma's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 39 recent games.

Defensive concern: Al Ahed conceded in 69% of 35 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Al Hikma remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hikma VS Al Ahed
1.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hikma

(Home)
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
20 Jun
Al Hikma
3 : 3
Jwayya SC
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Al Ahed

(Away)
01 Aug
Al Ahed
2 : 2
Jwayya SC
28 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 1
Al Ahed
24 Jul
Al Ahed
1 : 1
Al Ansar
20 Jul
Jwayya SC
2 : 0
Al Ahed
16 Jul
Al Ahed
0 : 2
Nejmeh SC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Ansar 21 17 2 2 53:9 53
2 Nejmeh SC 21 14 4 3 42:10 46
3 Al Ahed 21 13 1 7 34:22 40
4 Jwayya SC 21 11 5 5 31:14 38
5 Safa 21 11 3 7 30:17 36
6 Al Hikma 21 9 3 9 29:27 30
7 Al Sahel 21 7 6 8 22:21 27
8 Al-Mabarrah 21 5 7 9 12:36 22
9 Al Riyadi Abbasiyah 21 5 5 11 16:30 20
10 Tadamon 21 3 8 10 12:26 17
11 Racing 21 0 1 20 4:61 1
12 Bourj 11 3 1 7 8:20 10
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Main)
Relegation - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)