Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hikma vs Al-Mabarrah

Lebanon Lebanon

Lebanese Cup
Sat, Jan 17, 2026
2 - 1
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Diop B.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Soumare B.
Assist: Tarhini K.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Hikma
20%
Draws
10%
Al-Mabarrah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Hikma

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Al Hikma have won more games recently than Al-Mabarrah.
  • Model gives Al Hikma a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Al Hikma have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Hikma, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Hikma Clean Sheet 68%
Al-Mabarrah Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hikma Al-Mabarrah
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 7
Draws 3 9
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 1.3 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.37 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2026 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al-Mabarrah
4:2
Jan 17, 2026 Lebanese Cup
Al Hikma vs Al-Mabarrah
2:1
Dec 14, 2025 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Al Hikma
2:1
Apr 25, 2010 Premier League
Al-Mabarrah vs Al Hikma
3:1
Dec 26, 2009 Premier League
Al Hikma vs Al-Mabarrah
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hikma Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Al-Mabarrah Compare

Top Goalscorer Soumare B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hikma 95 / 100
Al-Mabarrah 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hikma Al-Mabarrah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hikma Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Al Hikma's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Al-Mabarrah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Al Hikma has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Hikma VS Al-Mabarrah
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hikma

(Home)
08 Jul
Nejmeh SC
2 : 0
Al Hikma
03 Jul
Al Hikma
0 : 1
Nejmeh SC
29 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 1
Tadamon
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
20 Jun
Al Hikma
3 : 3
Jwayya SC
Page 1 of 6

Al-Mabarrah

(Away)
03 Jul
Safa
4 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
29 Jun
Al-Mabarrah
0 : 7
Al Ansar
25 Jun
Al Hikma
4 : 2
Al-Mabarrah
21 Jun
Nejmeh SC
5 : 0
Al-Mabarrah
16 Jun
Tadamon
1 : 1
Al-Mabarrah
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Nejmeh SC 1
Al Ansar 0
Jwayya SC 2
Safa 1
Al Ahed 3
Tadamon 1
Al Hikma 2
Al-Mabarrah 1
Semi-finals
Nejmeh SC 2
Jwayya SC 1
Al Ahed 0
Al Hikma 1
Final
Nejmeh SC 2
Al Hikma 0