Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hilal Karima vs Alfalah Atbra

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Hilal Karima and Alfalah Atbra finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Hilal Karima.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Hilal Karima
6%
Draws
4%
Alfalah Atbra
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Hilal Karima

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Alfalah Atbra come out ahead of Al Hilal Karima on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Hilal Karima taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 16%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Al Hilal Karima Clean Sheet 20%
Alfalah Atbra Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Karima Alfalah Atbra
Matches Played 10 29
Wins 3 5
Draws 2 11
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 1.43 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.71 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.43 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.71 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Premier League
Al Hilal Karima vs Alfalah Atbra
2:1
Jan 11, 2026 Premier League
Alfalah Atbra vs Al Hilal Karima
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Karima 85 / 100
Alfalah Atbra 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Karima Alfalah Atbra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Karima found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (10 games).

Away concern: Alfalah Atbra has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Al Hilal Karima remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal Karima VS Alfalah Atbra
1.43 Goals Scored 0.38
1.71 Goals Conceded 0.88
71% Over 1.5 25%
71% Over 2.5 25%
57% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal Karima

(Home)
13 Feb
Al Saham Ad Damer
0 : 1
Al Hilal Karima
09 Feb
Al Hilal Karima
1 : 0
Alamal SC Atbara
03 Feb
Al Hilal Karima
1 : 3
Al-Merreikh II
30 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 1
Alfalah Atbra
26 Jan
Al Hilal Karima
2 : 2
Al-Ahly Merowe
Page 1 of 2

Alfalah Atbra

(Away)
09 Jun
Umm Mughad
3 : 1
Alfalah Atbra
06 Jun
Alfalah Atbra
1 : 3
Hay Al Wadi
02 Jun
Hilal El-Fasher
3 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
29 May
Al-Merreikh II
6 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
24 May
Madani
2 : 0
Alfalah Atbra
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)