Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hilal Manaqil vs Ahli Khartoum

Sudan Sudan

Premier League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal Manaqil play Ahli Khartoum in the Premier League. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al Hilal Manaqil averaged 1 goals scored and 0.78 conceded. Ahli Khartoum averaged 1.03 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Al Hilal Manaqil won 1, Ahli Khartoum won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 13, 2026 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for Al Hilal Manaqil and 0.76 for Ahli Khartoum. This points to a Al Hilal Manaqil double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Al Hilal Manaqil
35%
Draws
30%
Ahli Khartoum
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Hilal Manaqil

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Hilal Manaqil picked up more points recently compared to Ahli Khartoum.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.31 vs 0.76 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 20%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Al Hilal Manaqil Clean Sheet 27%
Ahli Khartoum Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 64%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Manaqil Ahli Khartoum
Matches Played 18 31
Wins 5 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.78 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Premier League
Ahli Khartoum vs Al Hilal Manaqil
1:1
Jan 23, 2026 Premier League
Al Hilal Manaqil vs Ahli Khartoum
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Manaqil 37 / 100
Ahli Khartoum 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Manaqil Ahli Khartoum

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Hilal Manaqil or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +29.5%
3.70
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +22.1%
3.70
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al Hilal Manaqil attacking → ← attacking Ahli Khartoum

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Manaqil scored in 56% of their last 18 games.

Ahli Khartoum let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Al Hilal Manaqil went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Ahli Khartoum lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

23 Points in last 5 33
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman II1064017:522
2Hilal Alsahil1054113:619
3Al Shorta103438:613
4Al Taqadom1025312:1411
5Al-Mergheni100739:147
6Kober101273:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Madani10100024:630
2Umm Mughad1053218:818
3Al Hilal Manaqil1035210:714
4Rabita Kosti103167:1410
5Ahli Khartoum101367:216
6Merikh Kosti101277:175
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Al-Merreikh II1064015:722
2Alfalah Atbra103435:413
3Al Saham Ad Damer1026210:912
4Al Hilal Karima1032511:1711
5Alamal SC Atbara102448:1010
6Al-Ahly Merowe101636:89
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hilal El-Fasher1054111:719
2Hay Al Wadi1043314:1315
3Haidob Al Nuhod1043313:815
4Al Fajr1033416:1812
5Zamala Ruwaba1032511:1311
6Al-Merreikh Obeid1031614:2010