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Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal Omdurman host Etincelles in the Premier League. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Etincelles have shipped 1.25 goals a game lately, while Al Hilal Omdurman have conceded 0.72 and scored 2.06. Head-to-head, Al Hilal Omdurman have won 1 to Etincelles's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:1. xG projections (1.13 - 1.00) back Al Hilal Omdurman to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Hilal Omdurman
15%
Draws
44%
Etincelles
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Etincelles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal Omdurman lately — more wins on the board than Etincelles.
  • Win probability leans Al Hilal Omdurman's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Al Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 20%
Etincelles Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Omdurman Etincelles
Matches Played 36 32
Wins 24 10
Draws 6 11
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.06 1
Goals Conceded 0.72 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Premier League
Etincelles vs Al Hilal Omdurman
2:1
Jan 8, 2026 Premier League
Al Hilal Omdurman vs Etincelles
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal Omdurman 40 / 100
Etincelles 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Omdurman Etincelles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Omdurman Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal Omdurman found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (36 games).

Etincelles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Hilal Omdurman stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal Omdurman VS Etincelles
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
16 Sept
Kigali FC
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
12 Sept
Al Hilal Omdurman
1 : 0
Aigle Noir
05 Sept
Aigle Noir
0 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
07 Aug
Jamus
1 : 2
Al Hilal Omdurman
04 Aug
Mahia
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
Page 1 of 8

Etincelles

(Away)
15 Sept
Etincelles
1 : 0
Musanze
12 Sept
Gorilla
0 : 1
Etincelles
05 Sept
Etincelles
0 : 0
Sunrise
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al Hilal Omdurman
26 May
Gorilla
0 : 4
Etincelles
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gicumbi 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
2 Etincelles 3 2 1 0 2:0 7
3 Gorilla 3 2 0 1 2:1 6
4 Amagaju 3 1 1 1 2:1 4
5 Kigali FC 4 1 1 2 1:4 4
6 APR 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
7 Al Hilal Omdurman 1 1 0 0 2:0 3
8 Mukura Victory Sports 2 1 0 1 2:1 3
9 Marines 2 1 0 1 4:4 3
10 Police 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
11 Musanze 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
12 Kiyovu 3 1 0 2 1:2 3
13 Sunrise 2 0 2 0 1:1 2
14 Al Merreikh 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
15 Rayon Sport 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
16 Etoile de L'Est 3 0 1 2 1:4 1
17 Bugesera 1 0 0 1 0:1 0
18 Gasogi United 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)