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Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Gasogi United

Rwanda Rwanda

Premier League Al Hilal Stadium, Omdurman
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AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al-Hilal Omdurman and Gasogi United finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al-Hilal Omdurman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
39%
Draws
31%
Gasogi United
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Hilal Omdurman come out ahead of Gasogi United on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 20%
Gasogi United Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman Gasogi United
Matches Played 35 32
Wins 22 8
Draws 6 8
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 2 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Gasogi United
2:1
Dec 3, 2025 Premier League
Gasogi United vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman 31 / 100
Gasogi United 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman Gasogi United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al-Hilal Omdurman scored in 77% of their last 35 outings.

Gasogi United's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Solid form: Al-Hilal Omdurman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Hilal Omdurman VS Gasogi United
2 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Muhanga
0 : 2
Al-Hilal Omdurman
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Gasogi United

(Away)
28 May
Gasogi United
0 : 1
Police
17 May
Musanze
3 : 2
Gasogi United
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
10 May
Gasogi United
2 : 2
Etincelles
05 May
Gasogi United
3 : 1
Gicumbi
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman34236574:2575
2APR341911450:2868
3Al-Merreikh341611741:2459
4Rayon Sport341414640:3056
5Kiyovu341314734:2153
6Police341216629:1952
7Mukura Victory Sports3412111136:3847
8Marines341291347:4345
9Bugesera341281434:3944
10Musanze3411101338:3743
11Gorilla3410101431:4240
12Gicumbi341081638:5438
13Etincelles347161132:4037
14AS Kigali348111527:3935
15Gasogi United348111529:4435
16Amagaju34981719:3835
17Muhanga34871925:4631
18Rutsiro346111730:4729
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2026/2027 (Qualification)