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Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns

Africa Africa

CAF Champions League Al Hilal Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Ndamane K.
45' Event
Abdelrahman M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Reisinho M. In: de Oliveira Sales A.
Out: Reisinho M.

AI Match Summary

Al-Hilal Omdurman in this CAF Champions League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al-Hilal Omdurman.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22%
Draws
18%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al-Hilal Omdurman

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Mamelodi Sundowns at 2 per game, Al-Hilal Omdurman at 1.88.
  • Win probability leans Al-Hilal Omdurman's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 68%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman Mamelodi Sundowns
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 19 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.88 2
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 CAF Champions League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns
2:1
Jan 23, 2026 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
2:2
Mar 18, 2023 CAF Champions League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:1
Feb 11, 2023 CAF Champions League
Mamelodi Sundowns vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:0
Mar 19, 2022 CAF Champions League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Mamelodi Sundowns
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Hilal Omdurman Compare

Top Goalscorer Girumugisha J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Mamelodi Sundowns Compare

Top Goalscorer de Oliveira Sales A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman 68 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman Mamelodi Sundowns

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AHO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Al-Hilal Omdurman found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Al-Hilal Omdurman went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Mamelodi Sundowns's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Hilal Omdurman VS Mamelodi Sundowns
1.88 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pyramids651014:216
2Berkane63128:610
3Power Dynamos62134:77
4Rivers United60152:131
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Ahly62408:310
2FAR Rabat62313:29
3Young Africans62225:48
4Kabylie60331:83
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman63219:711
2Mamelodi Sundowns62319:69
3MC Alger62135:67
4St Eloi Lupopo61234:85
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stade Malien63215:211
2Esperance Tunis62316:49
3Petro Atletico61323:66
4Simba61235:75