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Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sport

Africa Africa

CECAFA Kagame Cup
Sat, Aug 1, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the CECAFA Kagame Cup. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Al-Hilal Omdurman have averaged 1.88 scored and 0.63 conceded recently, against Rayon Sport's 1 scored and 0.88 conceded. Past meetings favor Al-Hilal Omdurman slightly — 1-0-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 25, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Rayon Sport. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Al-Hilal Omdurman
40%
Draws
29%
Rayon Sport
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Al-Hilal Omdurman come out ahead of Rayon Sport on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Al-Hilal Omdurman have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al-Hilal Omdurman, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al-Hilal Omdurman Clean Sheet 20%
Rayon Sport Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hilal Omdurman Rayon Sport
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 18 10
Draws 8 14
Losses 5 4
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 0.63 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 25, 2026 Premier League
Rayon Sport vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:1
Jan 17, 2026 Premier League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sport
4:0
Aug 25, 2019 CAF Champions League
Al-Hilal Omdurman vs Rayon Sport
0:0
Aug 11, 2019 CAF Champions League
Rayon Sport vs Al-Hilal Omdurman
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hilal Omdurman 32 / 100
Rayon Sport 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hilal Omdurman Rayon Sport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hilal Omdurman's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Al-Hilal Omdurman remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Rayon Sport let in goals in 54% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al-Hilal Omdurman VS Rayon Sport
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hilal Omdurman

(Home)
26 Jul
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 0
Tusker
30 May
Etincelles
2 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
22 May
Al-Merreikh
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
16 May
Police
1 : 1
Al-Hilal Omdurman
13 May
Al-Hilal Omdurman
2 : 1
Gasogi United
Page 1 of 7

Rayon Sport

(Away)
26 Jul
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
KVZ
29 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Kiyovu
26 May
Rayon Sport
2 : 0
Bugesera
23 May
APR
2 : 1
Rayon Sport
15 May
Rayon Sport
1 : 1
Gorilla
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mahia11005:03
2Vipers11003:03
3Garde Republicaine10010:30
4APR10010:50
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Jamus11002:03
2Simba10100:01
3Mogadishu City10100:01
4Singida Black Stars10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Omdurman11002:03
2Rayon Sport11002:03
3Tusker10010:20
4KVZ10010:20
Promotion - CECAFA Kagame Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams