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Al Hilal vs Al Fateh - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal host Al Fateh in the Saudi Professional League. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Al Hilal have averaged 2.36 scored and 0.86 conceded recently, against Al Fateh's 0.93 scored and 1.77 conceded. Past meetings favor Al Hilal slightly — 5-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 14, 2026, ending 0:1. xG projections (2.44 - 0.94) back Al Hilal to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

71%
Al Hilal
15%
Draws
14%
Al Fateh
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Al Fateh.
  • Model gives Al Hilal a 71% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Al Hilal here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 20%
Al Fateh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Al Fateh
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 22 4
Draws 3 9
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 2.36 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.44 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Hilal
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 King Cup
Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
4:1
Nov 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
2:1
May 16, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Fateh vs Al Hilal
3:4
Jan 16, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Fateh
9:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 85 / 100
Al Fateh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Al Fateh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Al Fateh let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Al Hilal went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Al Fateh
2.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
19 Oct
Al Hilal
1 : 0
Al Hazem Rass
13 Oct
Al Sadd
0 : 2
Al Hilal
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

Al Fateh

(Away)
22 Oct
Al Fateh
1 : 3
Al Shabab
18 Oct
Al Fateh
2 : 3
Al Khaleej
15 Oct
Al Hazem Rass
2 : 3
Al Fateh
09 Oct
Al Fateh
0 : 4
Al Ahli SC
13 Sept
Neom SC
4 : 2
Al Fateh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Qadsiah 10 8 1 1 24:9 25
2 Al Hilal 9 8 0 1 27:7 24
3 Al Nassr 9 7 1 1 20:7 22
4 Al Ittihad 9 6 2 1 18:10 20
5 Al Ahli SC 9 6 0 3 23:12 18
6 Neom SC 10 5 1 4 14:9 16
7 Al Diriyah 10 4 3 3 9:9 15
8 Al Ettifaq FC 10 4 3 3 14:16 15
9 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
10 Al Khaleej 10 2 6 2 9:13 12
11 Al Shabab 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
12 Al Hazem Rass 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
13 Al Riyadh 9 2 3 4 9:18 9
14 Al Fayha 11 1 5 5 12:19 8
15 Al Faisaly 9 1 4 4 10:17 7
16 Al Fateh 11 1 3 7 10:23 6
17 Al Taawon 10 0 4 6 4:17 4
18 Abha 8 0 2 6 6:15 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)