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Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal host Al Ittihad in the Saudi Professional League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Al Ittihad have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while Al Hilal have conceded 0.9 and scored 2.58. Past meetings favor Al Hilal slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.94 vs 1.31, favoring Al Hilal. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Al Hilal
20%
Draws
38%
Al Ittihad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Al Ittihad.
  • Win probability leans Al Hilal's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 18%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Al Ittihad
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 23 16
Draws 5 7
Losses 3 8
Goals Scored 2.58 1.74
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad
1:1
Oct 24, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Hilal
0:2
Feb 22, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Hilal
4:1
Jan 7, 2025 King Cup
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad
2:3
Sep 21, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Al Ittihad
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 76 / 100
Al Ittihad 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Al Ittihad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal scored in 94% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Al Ittihad has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Al Hilal has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Al Ittihad
3.13 Goals Scored 2
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
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Al Ittihad

(Away)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 7 6 0 1 23:5 18
2 Al Ittihad 7 5 2 0 12:6 17
3 Al Nassr 7 5 1 1 16:7 16
4 Al Qadsiah 7 5 1 1 16:8 16
5 Neom SC 7 5 0 2 13:6 15
6 Al Ahli SC 7 4 0 3 16:10 12
7 Al Kholood 7 3 3 1 12:10 12
8 Al Diriyah 7 3 2 2 7:5 11
9 Al Ettifaq FC 7 3 2 2 11:11 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 7 2 2 3 7:9 8
11 Al Riyadh 7 2 2 3 8:16 8
12 Al Fayha 7 1 3 3 7:11 6
13 Al Khaleej 7 0 5 2 3:10 5
14 Al Shabab 7 0 4 3 6:11 4
15 Al Fateh 7 0 3 4 4:11 3
16 Al-Faisaly 7 0 3 4 5:13 3
17 Al Taawon 7 0 3 4 3:12 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)