Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Hilal vs Damac

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 Kingdom Arena, Riyadh
Al Hilal Logo

Al Hilal

1 - 0
FT
Damac Logo

Damac

Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Milinkovic-Savic S.
Assist: Hernandez T.
46'
Sub
Meite Y. In: Arielson
Out: Meite Y.
47'
Al Sumairi K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Al Hilal
30%
Draws
23%
Damac
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Al Hilal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Hilal lately — more wins on the board than Damac.
  • Al Hilal are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Al Hilal have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 26%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 68%
Damac Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Damac
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 22 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 3 15
Goals Scored 2.42 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 0.85
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Damac
1:0
Jan 4, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Hilal
0:2
Feb 8, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Damac vs Al Hilal
2:2
Aug 28, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Damac
3:2
Mar 16, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Hilal vs Damac
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Milinkovic-Savic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Damac Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 95 / 100
Damac 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Damac

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal found the back of the net in 94% of recent matches (31 games).

Damac has conceded goals in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Al Hilal went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Damac
2.63 Goals Scored 0.57
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
100% Over 1.5 43%
63% Over 2.5 43%
38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
Page 1 of 7

Damac

(Away)
14 Sept
Al Bukiryah
1 : 2
Damac
08 Sept
Damac
0 : 1
Al-Ula
02 Sept
Al Wehda
2 : 2
Damac
28 Aug
Damac
0 : 0
Al Orubah
23 Aug
Al Saqer
0 : 0
Damac
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)