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Al Hilal vs Mamelodi Sundowns

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Malcom
63' Event
Malcom

AI Match Summary

Al Hilal in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Hilal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Al Hilal
15%
Draws
44%
Mamelodi Sundowns
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mamelodi Sundowns

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Al Hilal have won more games recently than Mamelodi Sundowns.
  • Model gives Al Hilal a 41% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Al Hilal Clean Sheet 16%
Mamelodi Sundowns Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Hilal Mamelodi Sundowns
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 21 20
Draws 5 8
Losses 3 3
Goals Scored 2.45 1.9
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Al Hilal vs Mamelodi Sundowns
2:0
Jul 26, 2024 Club Friendly
Al Hilal vs Mamelodi Sundowns
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Hilal Compare

Top Goalscorer Malcom
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Mamelodi Sundowns Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Hilal 75 / 100
Mamelodi Sundowns 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Hilal Mamelodi Sundowns

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Hilal Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Hilal scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Mamelodi Sundowns conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Hilal stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Hilal VS Mamelodi Sundowns
3.13 Goals Scored 2.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Hilal

(Home)
15 Sept
Al Hilal
2 : 1
Al-Gharafa
12 Sept
Al Taawon
0 : 6
Al Hilal
07 Sept
Al Hilal
0 : 2
Neom SC
04 Sept
Al Shabab
0 : 2
Al Hilal
01 Sept
Al Hilal
3 : 0
Al Ahli SC
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Mamelodi Sundowns

(Away)
19 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 1
Al Ahli SC
12 Sept
Chippa Utd.
1 : 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
09 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
3 : 0
Siwelele
06 Sept
Golden Arrows
1 : 2
Mamelodi Sundowns
02 Sept
Mamelodi Sundowns
2 : 0
Milford
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