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Al-Hudod vs Newroz

Iraq Iraq

Stars League 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

44' Event
Antwi D.
58' Event
Zureigat M.
81' Event
Salah Jaber A.

AI Match Summary

The Stars League 2024/2025 game between Al-Hudod and Newroz finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Newroz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Al-Hudod
20%
Draws
44%
Newroz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Newroz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Newroz come out ahead of Al-Hudod on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Newroz's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Stars League 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Al-Hudod here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Al-Hudod Clean Sheet 23%
Newroz Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Hudod Newroz
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 16
Draws 2 8
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.2 0.94
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 28, 2025 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Newroz
1:2
Dec 7, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al-Hudod
1:2
May 20, 2024 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Newroz
2:1
Mar 8, 2024 Stars League
Newroz vs Al-Hudod
2:3
May 24, 2023 Stars League
Al-Hudod vs Newroz
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Hudod Compare

Top Goalscorer Antwi D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Newroz Compare

Top Goalscorer Zureigat M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salah Jaber A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Hudod 10 / 100
Newroz 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Hudod Newroz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newroz Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Hudod found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Al-Hudod stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Newroz has conceded goals in 59% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Newroz
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al-Hudod

(Home)
04 Jul
Karbala
2 : 3
Al-Hudod
25 Jun
Al Shorta
3 : 1
Al-Hudod
18 Jun
Al-Hudod
1 : 0
Naft Missan
14 Jun
Al Kahraba
1 : 2
Al-Hudod
20 May
Al-Hudod
0 : 2
Al Zawraa
Page 1 of 6

Newroz

(Away)
19 Sept
Ghaz Al Shamal
0 : 0
Newroz
14 Sept
Al Golan
0 : 2
Newroz
09 Sept
Newroz
3 : 0
Al Mosul
04 Sept
Naft Missan
0 : 2
Newroz
30 Aug
Newroz
0 : 0
Duhok
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Shorta 38 26 9 3 75:23 87
2 Al Zawraa 38 23 8 7 56:28 77
3 Zakho 38 20 11 7 57:25 71
4 Al Talaba 38 18 9 11 40:27 63
5 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 38 17 9 12 51:43 60
6 Al Naft 38 15 14 9 32:27 59
7 Duhok 38 16 9 13 47:41 57
8 Al-Karma 38 15 11 12 43:35 56
9 Newroz 38 14 11 13 46:41 53
10 Al-Qassim 38 13 13 12 43:43 52
11 Naft Missan 38 14 9 15 42:46 51
12 Erbil 38 15 5 18 49:61 50
13 Al Kahraba 38 12 13 13 39:41 49
14 Al Najaf 38 11 13 14 37:36 46
15 Al Karkh 38 12 10 16 40:49 46
16 Al Minaa 38 11 10 17 39:44 43
17 Diyala 38 10 11 17 31:50 41
18 Naft Al-Basra 38 8 9 21 32:57 33
19 Al-Hudod 38 8 2 28 37:79 26
20 Karbala 38 4 10 24 26:66 22
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2025/2026 (League phase)
Relegation - Stars League 2024/2025 (Relegation)