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Al-Ittifaq vs Al Jazira Hamra

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Ittifaq play Al Jazira Hamra in the Division 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Al-Ittifaq averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Al Jazira Hamra averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Ittifaq won 1, Al Jazira Hamra won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 18, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Ittifaq and 1.00 for Al Jazira Hamra. This points to a Al Jazira Hamra double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Al-Ittifaq
40%
Draws
30%
Al Jazira Hamra
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Al Jazira Hamra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Al-Ittifaq picked up more points recently compared to Al Jazira Hamra.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Al-Ittifaq Clean Sheet 23%
Al Jazira Hamra Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittifaq Al Jazira Hamra
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 20 18
Goals Scored 1.3 1.2
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.87
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ittifaq vs Al Jazira Hamra
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Division 1
Al Jazira Hamra vs Al-Ittifaq
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ittifaq Compare

Top Goalscorer Balotelli M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Da Riva J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Al Jazira Hamra Compare

Top Goalscorer Hannioui R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittifaq 32 / 100
Al Jazira Hamra 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittifaq Al Jazira Hamra

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Al Jazira Hamra or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Ittifaq attacking → ← attacking Al Jazira Hamra

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittifaq scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Al Jazira Hamra let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Al-Ittifaq went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Jazira Hamra lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 24
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

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9Al Hamriyah281081045:3438
10Gulf United28741739:5225
11Al Jazira Hamra28661635:5124
12Al-Ittifaq28731837:5724
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15Masfut28561730:5821