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Al-Ittifaq vs Gulf United

United Arab Emirates United Arab Emirates

Division 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al-Ittifaq play Gulf United in the Division 1. Gulf United are favorites here. Recently, Al-Ittifaq averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. Gulf United averaged 1.33 goals scored and 1.93 conceded. In past meetings, Al-Ittifaq won 2, Gulf United won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 29, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Al-Ittifaq and 1.00 for Gulf United. This points to a Gulf United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Al-Ittifaq
25%
Draws
60%
Gulf United
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Gulf United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Al-Ittifaq picked up more points recently compared to Gulf United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 61%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Over 3.5 Goals 37%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58%
Al-Ittifaq Clean Sheet 23%
Gulf United Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al-Ittifaq Gulf United
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 20 19
Goals Scored 1.3 1.33
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2026 Division 1
Al-Ittifaq vs Gulf United
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Division 1
Gulf United vs Al-Ittifaq
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al-Ittifaq Compare

Top Goalscorer Ruan Vitor
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Gulf United Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al-Ittifaq 18 / 100
Gulf United 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al-Ittifaq Gulf United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gulf United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Gulf United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +114.3%
14.29
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.82
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Al-Ittifaq attacking → ← attacking Gulf United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al-Ittifaq scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Gulf United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Al-Ittifaq went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gulf United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 25
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
1.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hatta28185557:2559
2United FC28177445:2858
3Al Urooba28176538:1757
4Dibba Al Hisn28175658:2556
5Al Arabi (UAE)28155844:3450
6Al Thaid28139637:3048
7Emirates Club281261038:3942
8Al Fujairah28109946:4739
9Al Hamriyah281081045:3438
10Gulf United28741739:5225
11Al Jazira Hamra28661635:5124
12Al-Ittifaq28731837:5724
13Dubai City28651729:5523
14Majd FC28561730:5621
15Masfut28561730:5821