Sport Picks

Al Ittihad Aleppo vs Ahal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia

AFC Challenge League Changlimithang Stadium, Thimphu

Ahal

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Aleppo host Ahal in the AFC Challenge League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Ahal have shipped 1.18 goals a game lately, while Al Ittihad Aleppo have conceded 0.75 and scored 2.75. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.56 vs 1.75, favoring Al Ittihad Aleppo. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%

Al Ittihad Aleppo

15%

Draws

24%

Ahal

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Al Ittihad Aleppo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Al Ittihad Aleppo come out ahead of Ahal on wins alone.
Al Ittihad Aleppo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Regular AFC Challenge League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Al Ittihad Aleppo Clean Sheet 12%

Ahal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Al Ittihad Aleppo	Ahal
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	21	17
Draws	6	3
Losses	1	8
Goals Scored	2.75	2.21
Goals Conceded	0.75	1.18
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Aleppo 83 / 100

Ahal 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Al Ittihad Aleppo Ahal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Aleppo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Aleppo scored in 93% of their last 28 games.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Aleppo stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Ahal has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Ahal has conceded goals in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Aleppo VS Ahal

2 Goals Scored 3.13

0.38 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History