Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Alexandria Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Alaa M.
(Penalty)
46'
Sub
Hatem F. In: Ouro-Agoro I.
Out: Hatem F.
46'
Sub
Tarek K. In: Keita A.
Out: Tarek K.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Alexandria in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
22%
Draws
18%
El Gaish
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria haven't matched El Gaish's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 60% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
El Gaish Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria El Gaish
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 15
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 0.88 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish
1:0
Feb 6, 2026 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Apr 28, 2025 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:2
Nov 30, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Gaish
0:1
Jul 4, 2024 Premier League
El Gaish vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 68 / 100
El Gaish 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria El Gaish

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Alexandria's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Al Ittihad Alexandria remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: El Gaish has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

El Gaish let in goals in 52% of their last 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS El Gaish
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

El Gaish

(Away)
28 May
El Gaish
0 : 2
Wadi Degla
22 May
El Gouna
2 : 1
El Gaish
18 May
El Gaish
1 : 0
Pharco FC
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
07 May
El Gaish
1 : 0
Ghazl El Mahallah
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)