Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Ismaily

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Emad M.
14'
Sub
Magdi A. In: Wahid Y.
Out: Magdi A.
37'
Abdelfattah K.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad Alexandria in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
6%
Draws
4%
El Ismaily
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Al Ittihad Alexandria lately — more wins on the board than El Ismaily.
  • Al Ittihad Alexandria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
El Ismaily Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria El Ismaily
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 4
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 0.88 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Ismaily
3:0
Aug 19, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:1
Apr 16, 2025 League Cup
El Ismaily vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
2:0
Apr 10, 2025 Premier League
El Ismaily vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Jan 26, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs El Ismaily
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebuka J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alaa M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

El Ismaily Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 95 / 100
El Ismaily 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria El Ismaily

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ittihad Alexandria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: El Ismaily conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Al Ittihad Alexandria has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

El Ismaily lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS El Ismaily
0.88 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
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El Ismaily

(Away)
28 May
El Ismaily
1 : 2
Pharco FC
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
17 May
El Ismaily
0 : 0
ZED FC
12 May
Wadi Degla
2 : 1
El Ismaily
07 May
National Bank Egypt
0 : 0
El Ismaily
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
8Wadi Degla1366119:953
9ZED FC1355318:1549
10National Bank Egypt1364320:1648
11El Gouna1346310:946
12Petrojet1355318:1545
13Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)1348115:1038
14Ghazl El Mahallah1347215:1138
15Modern Sport132838:1037
16El Gaish134367:1037
17Al Ittihad Alexandria1337314:1436
18Kahrabaa Ismailia1337313:1632
19Haras El Hodood1316611:1926
20Pharco FC132477:1325
21El Ismaily131664:1220
Relegation - Division 2 A (Main)