Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha

Egypt Egypt

Premier League Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Mabululu
27'
El Deeb K.
38'
Liadi A.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Al Ittihad Alexandria and Smouha finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Al Ittihad Alexandria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
6%
Draws
4%
Smouha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Smouha come out ahead of Al Ittihad Alexandria on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Al Ittihad Alexandria taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
Smouha Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria Smouha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 12 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.43

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha
1:0
Dec 20, 2025 League Cup
Smouha vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
May 16, 2025 Premier League
Smouha vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Mar 4, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha
0:1
May 14, 2024 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs Smouha
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer Magdi A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Smouha Compare

Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 95 / 100
Smouha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria Smouha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Smouha lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Al Ittihad Alexandria scored in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Smouha let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS Smouha
1 Goals Scored 0.71
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.43
75% Over 1.5 71%
50% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

Smouha

(Away)
20 May
Pyramids
2 : 1
Smouha
05 May
Smouha
0 : 1
Zamalek
27 Apr
Smouha
0 : 1
Al Masry
22 Apr
Smouha
0 : 2
Ceramica Cleopatra
11 Apr
Al Ahly
2 : 1
Smouha
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zamalek20134332:1343
2Pyramids20134333:1543
3Al Ahly20117233:1940
4Ceramica Cleopatra20115429:1638
5Al Masry2088429:2032
6Smouha2087521:1331
7Enppi2079420:1630
8Wadi Degla2078523:2029
9ZED FC2078521:1629
10El Gouna20610416:1528
11National Bank Egypt20511418:1426
12Petrojet20510521:2325
13Modern Sport2058718:2423
14El Gaish2057814:2422
15Al Ittihad Alexandria20621215:2420
16Ghazl El Mahallah20213512:1519
17Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)2039813:2118
18Haras El Hodood20451115:2917
19Kahrabaa Ismailia20441222:3716
20Pharco FC202998:2215
21El Ismaily20321511:2811
Promotion - Premier League (Championship Group)
Relegation - Premier League (Relegation Group)