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Al Ittihad Alexandria vs ZED FC

Egypt Egypt

League Cup Borg El Arab Stadium, Alexandria
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
El Deeb K.
45' Event
Kabaka
46'
Sub
El Deeb K. In: Metwaly M.
Out: El Deeb K.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-1. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Al Ittihad Alexandria
17%
Draws
13%
ZED FC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Al Ittihad Alexandria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and ZED FC come out ahead of Al Ittihad Alexandria on wins alone.
  • Model gives Al Ittihad Alexandria a 70% chance of winning this.
  • ZED FC arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor ZED FC, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Al Ittihad Alexandria Clean Sheet 68%
ZED FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Alexandria ZED FC
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 8 12
Draws 12 11
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs ZED FC
2:1
Jan 6, 2026 League Cup
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs ZED FC
1:1
Sep 22, 2025 Premier League
ZED FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
1:0
May 6, 2025 Premier League
ZED FC vs Al Ittihad Alexandria
0:0
Jan 11, 2025 Premier League
Al Ittihad Alexandria vs ZED FC
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Alexandria Compare

Top Goalscorer El Deeb K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

ZED FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Kabaka
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad Alexandria 77 / 100
ZED FC 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Alexandria ZED FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ITT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad Alexandria's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

ZED FC let in goals in 65% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad Alexandria stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad Alexandria VS ZED FC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad Alexandria

(Home)
29 May
National Bank Egypt
2 : 2
Al Ittihad Alexandria
23 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
3 : 0
El Ismaily
18 May
Ghazl El Mahallah
1 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
13 May
Al Ittihad Alexandria
1 : 0
El Gaish
08 May
Modern Sport
0 : 0
Al Ittihad Alexandria
Page 1 of 6

ZED FC

(Away)
08 Jun
ZED FC
0 : 2
Wadi Degla
01 Jun
Al Masry
2 : 0
ZED FC
29 May
ZED FC
1 : 1
Kahrabaa Ismailia
25 May
ZED FC
1 : 0
Al Masry
21 May
Wadi Degla
2 : 2
ZED FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1El Gaish64117:313
2Arab Contractors (Al Mokawloon)63219:511
3Enppi63127:510
4Pharco FC63038:109
5Ghazl El Mahallah62224:48
6Al Ahly62047:96
7Ceramica Cleopatra61052:83
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Petrojet650115:515
2El Gouna641110:513
3Wadi Degla631212:610
4National Bank Egypt614111:77
5El Ismaily61235:75
6Modern Sport61233:75
7Pyramids61053:223
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Al Masry63215:311
2ZED FC63126:410
3Al Ittihad Alexandria61505:28
4Kahrabaa Ismailia615012:118
5Smouha62224:58
6Zamalek62137:97
7Haras El Hodood60244:92
Promotion - League Cup (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams