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Al Ittihad vs Al Diriyah - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad host Al Diriyah in the Saudi Professional League. This one's hard to separate. Al Diriyah have shipped 1.26 goals a game lately, while Al Ittihad have conceded 1.45 and scored 1.74. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. xG projections (1.31 - 1.00) back Al Diriyah to edge this. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Al Ittihad
20%
Draws
40%
Al Diriyah
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Al Ittihad have won more games recently than Al Diriyah.
  • Win probability leans Al Ittihad's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Saudi Professional League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Al Diriyah Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Al Diriyah
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 16 15
Draws 6 5
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.74 1.93
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 40 / 100
Al Diriyah 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Al Diriyah

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (31 games).

Al Diriyah's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 27 matches.

Al Ittihad went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Al Diriyah lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad VS Al Diriyah
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad

(Home)
13 Oct
Al Ittihad
1 : 2
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
10 Oct
Al Hilal
3 : 2
Al Ittihad
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
Page 1 of 7

Al Diriyah

(Away)
09 Oct
Al Nassr
3 : 0
Al Diriyah
13 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 0
Abha
09 Sept
Al Fateh
1 : 2
Al Diriyah
03 Sept
Al Diriyah
0 : 2
Al Qadsiah
29 Aug
Al Ettifaq FC
0 : 3
Al Diriyah
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Hilal 8 7 0 1 26:7 21
2 Al Qadsiah 8 6 1 1 21:8 19
3 Al Nassr 8 6 1 1 19:7 19
4 Al Ittihad 8 5 2 1 14:9 17
5 Neom SC 8 5 1 2 14:7 16
6 Al Ahli SC 8 5 0 3 20:10 15
7 Al Ettifaq FC 8 3 3 2 12:12 12
8 Al Kholood 9 3 3 3 14:18 12
9 Al Diriyah 8 3 2 3 7:8 11
10 Al Hazem Rass 9 2 3 4 10:13 9
11 Al Khaleej 9 1 6 2 6:11 9
12 Al Riyadh 8 2 3 3 9:17 9
13 Al Shabab 8 1 4 3 9:11 7
14 Al Fayha 9 1 4 4 8:14 7
15 Al Faisaly 8 1 3 4 8:15 6
16 Al Fateh 9 1 3 5 7:17 6
17 Al Taawon 8 0 3 5 3:15 3
18 Abha 7 0 2 5 5:13 2
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2027/2028 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)