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Al Ittihad vs Al Khaleej

Saudi Arabia Saudi Arabia

Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
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Match Events

12'
Fabinho
18'
Asiri A.
45'
Rebocho P.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad in this Saudi Professional League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Al Ittihad.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Al Ittihad
35%
Draws
14%
Al Khaleej
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Al Ittihad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Al Khaleej haven't matched Al Ittihad's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Al Ittihad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Al Khaleej Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Al Khaleej
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 5
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.72 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Khaleej
1:0
Nov 1, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad
4:4
Feb 26, 2025 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad
1:1
Sep 27, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Ittihad vs Al Khaleej
4:1
May 16, 2024 Saudi Professional League
Al Khaleej vs Al Ittihad
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Al Ittihad Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Al Khaleej Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 85 / 100
Al Khaleej 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Al Khaleej

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Al Ittihad scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Al Khaleej conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad VS Al Khaleej
2 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad

(Home)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
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Al Khaleej

(Away)
12 Sept
Al Khaleej
1 : 1
Al Nassr
07 Sept
Al Khaleej
0 : 0
Al Riyadh
03 Sept
Neom SC
3 : 0
Al Khaleej
28 Aug
Al Khaleej
1 : 5
Al Hilal
25 Aug
Abha
1 : 1
Al Khaleej
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al Nassr 34 28 2 4 91:28 86
2 Al Hilal 34 25 9 0 85:27 84
3 Al Ahli SC 34 25 6 3 71:25 81
4 Al Qadsiah 34 23 8 3 83:34 77
5 Al Ittihad 34 16 7 11 55:48 55
6 Al Taawon 34 15 8 11 59:46 53
7 Al Ettifaq FC 34 14 8 12 51:55 50
8 Neom SC 34 12 9 13 43:48 45
9 Al Hazem Rass 34 11 9 14 38:57 42
10 Al Fayha 34 10 8 16 41:54 38
11 Al Fateh 34 9 10 15 41:55 37
12 Al Khaleej 34 10 7 17 54:62 37
13 Al Shabab 34 8 11 15 44:57 35
14 Al Kholood 34 9 6 19 39:61 33
15 Al Riyadh 34 7 9 18 35:63 30
16 Damac 34 6 11 17 32:55 29
17 Al Okhdood 34 5 5 24 27:70 20
18 Al Najma 34 3 7 24 32:76 16
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2 (Main)
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League 2026/2027 (Main)
Relegation - Division 1 (Main)