Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda

Asia Asia

AFC Champions League 2025/2026 King Abdullah Sports City, Jeddah
Tue, Apr 14, 2026
1 - 0
06:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

57'
Tadic D.
65'
Sub
Bergwijn S. In: Roger
Out: Bergwijn S.
72'
Sub
Burghash M. In: de Oliveira G. M.
Out: Burghash M.

AI Match Summary

Al Ittihad in this AFC Champions League 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Al Ittihad
20%
Draws
42%
Al Wahda
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Al Wahda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Al Wahda haven't matched Al Ittihad's recent run of results.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Al Ittihad taking it.
  • Al Ittihad have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Al Ittihad, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Al Ittihad Clean Sheet 20%
Al Wahda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Al Ittihad Al Wahda
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 6 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda
1:0
Mar 10, 2026 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
2:1
May 21, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Ittihad vs Al Wahda
1:1
Mar 11, 2019 AFC Champions League
Al Wahda vs Al Ittihad
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Al Ittihad 40 / 100
Al Wahda 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Al Ittihad Al Wahda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Al Ittihad Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Al Ittihad scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Al Ittihad stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Al Wahda conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Al Ittihad VS Al Wahda
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Al Ittihad

(Home)
14 Sept
Shamal
1 : 1
Al Ittihad
11 Sept
Al-Faisaly
1 : 3
Al Ittihad
08 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Fayha
05 Sept
Al Ittihad
2 : 1
Al Nassr
29 Aug
Al Fateh
0 : 0
Al Ittihad
Page 1 of 6

Al Wahda

(Away)
20 Sept
Al Jazira
1 : 0
Al Wahda
16 Sept
Al Wahda
3 : 2
Al Kuwait
11 Sept
Al Wahda
1 : 0
Al Sharjah
06 Sept
Al Dhafra
0 : 1
Al Wahda
30 Aug
Al Wahda
2 : 1
Bani Yas
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Al Hilal 3
Al-Sadd 4
Vissel Kobe 3
Seoul 1
Al Ahli SC 1
Al-Duhail 0
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2
Johor DT 3
Machida Zelvia 1
Gangwon 0
Al Ittihad 1
Al Wahda 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Melbourne City 1
Tractor 0
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Quarter-finals
Al-Sadd 3
Vissel Kobe 4
Al Ahli SC 2
Johor DT 1
Machida Zelvia 1
Al Ittihad 0
Buriram United F.C. 2
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 3
Semi-finals
Vissel Kobe 1
Al Ahli SC 2
Machida Zelvia 1
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 0
Final
Al Ahli SC 1
Machida Zelvia 0